Denver Nuggets Face Off Against Phoenix Suns as -3.5 Favorites in Game 1

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Apr/29/2023

All the latest betting news on the Denver Nuggets that should help bettors make smart decisions before pulling the trigger.

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Suns-Nuggets Game 1

(April 29, 2023) - Denver is listed as a -3.5 favorite versus the Suns in Game 1 of this series to kick off Round 2 of the NBA Playoffs.

Denver went 4-1 against Minnesota to advance.

“Our team was kind of like the crowd tonight — we were late arriving,” Nuggets coach Michael Malone said after Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray helped the top-seeded Nuggets win 112-109 in Game 5 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series.

The Suns eliminated the LA Clippers in five games as well.

Denver comes into this game with a big of a disadvantage.  They are just 1-5 Against The Spread in the last 6 meetings versus the Suns in Denver.

Some other noteworthy trends:

  • Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Nuggets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Saturday games.
  • Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in Nuggets last 11 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 4

(April 23, 2023) - The Denver Nuggets are looking to sweep the Minnesota Timberwolves Sunday night and advance to the next round of the playoffs.

"They handled their business like they're supposed to," Nuggets coach Michael Malone said of his players, "like mature teams do."

"We didn't want to give them life," said two-time reigning MVP Nikola Jokic, who had a triple-double -- 20 points, 12 assists and 11 rebounds after Denver's 120-111 win. "We wanted to be the aggressor. We wanted to punch them first."

The T-Wolves will come into Game 4 with their backs against the wall as a +3.5 home dog.

The Nuggets are now 5-0 Against The Spread in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3

(April 20, 2023) - The Timberwolves will come into Game 3 as a +2.5 home dog.

We have Denver at 0.62.

In the first two games, Jamal Murray is averaging 32.0 points and 6.5 assists with 5.5 rebounds. He is coming off a 40-point performance in the Nuggets' 122-113 Game 2 win Wednesday.

It was Murray's fifth game of at least 40 points in 35 career postseason games. In 410 regular-season games, Murray has just four games with 40 or more points.

The Nuggets are 23-7-1 Against The Spread in the last 31 meetings in Minnesota.

Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 2

Denver won Game 1 by a final score of 109-80. The line on this game was a half point more than the last one at Denver -8. Our number on this one was up to 5.73.

All indications are that Minnesota should be able to rebound here.

The poor effort can be attributed to having to play two play-in games in order to advance to the playoffs and having just one day of rest ahead of Game 1.

Denver, on the other hand, had six days off to prepare.

"We had a long, tough week," Wolves forward Kyle Anderson said. "That's no excuse. We came out expecting to win the game. We just have to get some rest, watch film, adjust and get ready for Game 2."

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 2 Prop Bets

Wed, Apr 19, 2023 EST
Rot     Mike Conley (MIN) Total Points+Rebounds+Assists     Moneyline
501     Over  21½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -110
502     Under  21½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -120
Must Play
Rot     Anthony Edwards (MIN) Total Points+Rebounds+Assists     Moneyline
503     Over  33½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -110
504     Under  33½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -120
Must Play
Rot     Rudy Gobert (MIN) Total Points+Rebounds+Assists     Moneyline
505     Over  25½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -120
506     Under  25½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -110
Must Play
Rot     Bruce Brown Jr (DEN) Total Points+Rebounds+Assists     Moneyline
507     Over  17½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -110
508     Under  17½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -120
Must Play
Rot     Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) Total Points+Rebounds+Assists     Moneyline
509     Over  14½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -110
510     Under  14½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -120
Must Play
Rot     Aaron Gordon (DEN) Total Points+Rebounds+Assists     Moneyline
511     Over  23½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -125
512     Under  23½  Pts+Rebs+Assists     -105
Must Play
Rot     Mike Conley (MIN) Total Points     Moneyline
525     Over  13½  Points     -105
526     Under  13½  Points     -125
Must Play
Rot     Anthony Edwards (MIN) Total Points     Moneyline
527     Over  24½  Points     -120
528     Under  24½  Points     -110
Must Play
Rot     Rudy Gobert (MIN) Total Points     Moneyline
529     Over  11½  Points     -125
530     Under  11½  Points     -105
Must Play
Rot     Bruce Brown Jr (DEN) Total Points     Moneyline
531     Over  11½  Points     -120
532     Under  11½  Points     -110
Must Play
Rot     Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) Total Points     Moneyline
533     Over  9½  Points     -115
534     Under  9½  Points     -115
Must Play
Rot     Aaron Gordon (DEN) Total Points     Moneyline
537     Over  14½  Points     -140
538     Under  14½  Points     Ev
Must Play
Rot     Anthony Edwards (MIN) Total Assists     Moneyline
553     Over  4½  Assists     Ev
554     Under  4½  Assists     -140
Must Play
Rot     Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) Total Assists     Moneyline
559     Over  1½  Assists     -190
560     Under  1½  Assists     +145
Must Play
Rot     Aaron Gordon (DEN) Total Assists     Moneyline
561     Over  2½  Assists     -105
562     Under  2½  Assists     -125
Must Play
Rot     Mike Conley (MIN) Total Rebounds     Moneyline
575     Over  2½  Rebounds     -170
576     Under  2½  Rebounds     +130
Must Play
Rot     Anthony Edwards (MIN) Total Rebounds     Moneyline
577     Over  5½  Rebounds     -105
578     Under  5½  Rebounds     -125
Must Play
Rot     Rudy Gobert (MIN) Total Rebounds     Moneyline
579     Over  11½  Rebounds     -120
580     Under  11½  Rebounds     -110
Must Play
Rot     Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) Total Rebounds     Moneyline
583     Over  2½  Rebounds     -150
584     Under  2½  Rebounds     +110
Must Play
Rot     Aaron Gordon (DEN) Total Rebounds     Moneyline
585     Over  6½  Rebounds     +110
586     Under  6½  Rebounds     -150
Must Play
Rot     Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) Total Made 3 Point Field Goals     Moneyline
609     Over  1½  3pt FGs     -115
610     Under  1½  3pt FGs     -115
Must Play
Rot     Player to Score First Basket     Moneyline
1201     Nikola Jokic         +450
1202     Karl-Anthony Towns         +500
1203     Anthony Edwards         +550
1204     Aaron Gordon         +650
1205     Rudy Gobert         +650
1206     Jamal Murray         +700
1207     Michael Porter Jr         +700
1208     Nickeil Alexander-Walker         +800
1209     Mike Conley         +1000
1210     Kentavious Caldwell-Pope         +1500

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 1

The Denver Nuggets owned a 53-29 record straight up entering the playoffs.  More importantly, Denver has performed well for sports bettors with their 45-37 record Against The Spread.  Minnesota was hovering right above the .500 mark straight up and just below it Against The Spread.  The T-Wolves have been covering in 70 percent of their most recent games dating back to March 26 while Denver is covering in 60 percent of their games over that span.

Denver opened as the -7.5 favorite in Game 1.  We get a number of Nuggets 5.13. The home team has won five of the last six meetings.  The teams have split wins and losses over the last ten meetings.  More importantly perhaps, Denver has only covered the current spread of 7.5 in two of its three wins over this time.  We would note that the Timberwolves are 6-1 Against The Spread in the last 7 meetings.

Denver became the first No. 8 seed to win a series when it upset the Seattle SuperSonics in 1994.  The Nuggets knew they can't take for granted the T-Wolves No. 8 seed status coming into this playoff series.

"I think honestly, everyone in the league is so good right now, everyone's an upset candidate," Denver's Michael Porter Jr. said. "You can't take any team lightly. You look across the board, no one knows who's going to win any of these series. So I think it's just about who prepares the most. We have faith in ourselves, we have confidence in ourselves, and we just got to go out there and execute."

Betting Trends

  • Timberwolves are 6-1 Against The Spread in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Nuggets are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games.
  • Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 1 Prop Bets

Rot     Winning Margin     Moneyline
2009     Timberwolves to win by 1-2 pts         +1200
2010     Timberwolves to win by 3-6 pts         +850
2011     Timberwolves to win by 7-9 pts         +1600
2012     Timberwolves to win by 10-13 pts         +2000
2013     Timberwolves to win by 14-16 pts         +3500
2014     Timberwolves to win by 17-20 pts         +4000
2015     Timberwolves to win by 21 or more pts         +2200
2016     Nuggets to win by 1-2 pts         +1000
2017     Nuggets to win by 3-6 pts         +450
2018     Nuggets to win by 7-9 pts         +600
2019     Nuggets to win by 10-13 pts         +500
2020     Nuggets to win by 14-16 pts         +800
2021     Nuggets to win by 17-20 pts         +800
2022     Nuggets to win by 21 or more pts         +550

Rot     Double Result     Moneyline
2023     Timberwolves - Timberwolves         +400
2024     Tie - Timberwolves         +4000
2025     Nuggets - Timberwolves         +850
2026     Timberwolves - Nuggets         +450
2027     Tie - Nuggets         +1800
2028     Nuggets - Nuggets         -150

Find Live Prop Bets Including Player Props Here

T-Wolves vs. Nuggets Series Betting Markets

  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Exact Games
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Game 1/Series Outcome
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Game 3 Series Score
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Game 4 Series Score
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Series Alternate Spread
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Series Correct Score
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Series Leader Total Assists
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Series Leader Total Made 3 Pointers
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Series Leader Total Points
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Series Leader Total Rebounds
  • Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Total Games Over/Under

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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