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On January 9th, the day after Michigan won the CFP National Championship, BetOnline.ag released their 2024 Heisman Trophy odds.
A lot has changed since then but most importantly:
Some quarterbacks without teams due to them transferring weren’t on the initial list. Here are some:
Cam Ward
KJ Jefferson
Tyler Shough
Jayden Maiava
Maalik Murphy
A few freshmen were added:
Dylan Raiola
Julian Sayin
Austin Mack
Other upperclassmen added:
Arch Manning
Donovan Edwards
Kyron Drones
Garrett Greene
Ashton Jeanty
Darius Taylor
Kaidon Salter
Payton Thorne
Rocco Becht
Thomas Castellanos
*J.J. McCarthy declared for the draft and is no longer on the list:
*CJ Baxter is not on the list anymore as he is out for the year.
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What Are the Most Significant Changes in the Heisman Odds for 2024?
Answer: Dillon Gabriel is now favored to win the 2024 Heisman Trophy after opening with the 4th shortest odds while Cameron Rising has seen the biggest move from 75/1 odds to 33/1 odds.
Gabriel is at his third school in four years. He is +700 to win the Heisman for Oregon, which will be playing in the Big 10 for the first time.. Georgia quarterback Carson Beck right behind at +750. It's easy to make the case for both QBs to win the Heisman.
Here’s a side by side comparison of the odds from January 9th and the odds of today to win the Heisman Trophy.
Here are some notes on the odds changes over the past 7.5 months.
Jalen Milroe was the initial favorite and Dillon Gabriel was fourth. They have since switched places.
Players whose odds got significantly shorter (not including new additions):
Miller Moss went from 50/1 to 22/1.
Avery Johnson and Jalon Daniels went from 50/1 to 28/1.
Cameron Rising went from 75/1 to 33/1.
Brady Cook went from 50/1 to 33/1.
Players whose odds got significantly longer:
Conor Weigman and Jackson Arnold went from 18/1 to 40/1.
Cade Klubnik went from 28/1 to 80/1.
Will Rogers went from 28/1 to 125/1 and from Mississippi State to Washington.
Tyler Van Dyke went from 66/1 to 150/1.
Note: Arrows down meant the odds got shorter and the player’s odds improved to win the Heisman. Arrow up, means player’s odds got longer as did their chances to win the Heisman. OTB means off the board.
|
2024 Heisman Winner |
||
|
|
1/9/24 |
8/28/2024 |
|
Dillon Gabriel (Oregon) |
10/1 |
6/1 ↓ |
|
Cam Ward (Miami FL) |
OTB |
7/1 ↓ |
|
Carson Beck (Georgia) |
15/2 |
9/1 ↑ |
|
Jalen Milroe (Alabama) |
7/1 |
9/1 ↑ |
|
Jaxson Dart (Ole Miss) |
16/1 |
11/1 ↓ |
|
Quinn Ewers (Texas) |
8/1 |
12/1 ↑ |
|
Nico Imaleava (Tennessee) |
16/1 |
16/1 |
|
Will Howard (Ohio State) |
14/1 |
18/1 ↑ |
|
Miller Moss (USC) |
50/1 |
22/1 ↓ |
|
Avery Johnson (Kansas State) |
50/1 |
28/1 ↓ |
|
Jalon Daniels (Kansas) |
50/1 |
28/1 ↓ |
|
Shedeur Sanders (Colorado) |
25/1 |
28/1 ↑ |
|
Brady Cook (Missouri) |
50/1 |
33/1 ↓ |
|
Cameron Rising (Utah) |
75/1 |
33/1 ↓ |
|
Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) |
22/1 |
33/1 ↑ |
|
KJ Jefferson (UCF) |
OTB |
33/1 ↓ |
|
Kyron Drones (Virginia Tech) |
OTB |
33/1 ↓ |
|
Riley Leonard (Notre Dame) |
22/1 |
33/1 ↑ |
|
Travis Hunter (Colorado) |
50/1 |
33/1 ↓ |
|
Conor Weigman (Texas A&M) |
18/1 |
40/1 ↑ |
|
Drew Allar (Penn State) |
33/1 |
40/1 ↑ |
|
Jackson Arnold (Oklahoma) |
18/1 |
40/1 ↑ |
|
Noah Fifita (Arizona) |
28/1 |
50/1 ↑ |
|
D.J. Uiagalelei (Florida State) |
28/1 |
66/1 ↑ |
|
Luther Burden III (Missouri) |
66/1 |
66/1 |
|
Ollie Gordon II (Oklahoma State) |
66/1 |
66/1 |
|
Cade Klubnik (Clemson) |
28/1 |
80/1 ↑ |
|
Donovan Edwards (Michigan) |
OTB |
80/1 ↓ |
|
Arch Manning (Texas) |
OTB |
100/1 ↓ |
|
Dylan Raiola (Nebraska) |
OTB |
100/1 ↓ |
|
Grayson McCall (NC State) |
100/1 |
100/1 |
|
Julian Sayin (Ohio State) |
OTB |
100/1 ↓ |
|
Trevor Etienne (Georgia) |
50/1 |
100/1 ↑ |
|
Tyler Shough (Louisville) |
OTB |
100/1 ↓ |
|
Dante Moore (Oregon) |
66/1 |
125/1 ↑ |
|
Jayden Maiava (USC) |
OTB |
125/1 ↓ |
|
Preston Stone (SMU) |
150/1 |
125/1 ↓ |
|
Will Rogers (Washington) |
28/1 |
125/1 ↑ |
|
Austin Mack (Alabama) |
OTB |
150/1 ↓ |
|
Brock Vandagriff (Kentucky) |
150/1 |
150/1 |
|
Dequan Finn (Baylor) |
150/1 |
150/1 |
|
Garrett Greene (West Virginia) |
OTB |
150/1 ↓ |
|
Graham Mertz (Florida) |
80/1 |
150/1 ↑ |
|
Kyle McCord (Syracuse) |
75/1 |
150/1 ↑ |
|
Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona) |
75/1 |
150/1 ↑ |
|
Tyler Van Dyke (Wisconsin) |
66/1 |
150/1 ↑ |
|
Aidan Chiles (Michigan State) |
150/1 |
200/1 ↑ |
|
Ashton Jeanty (Boise State) |
OTB |
200/1 ↓ |
|
Behren Morton (Texas Tech) |
150/1 |
200/1 ↑ |
|
Darius Taylor (Minnesota) |
OTB |
200/1 ↓ |
|
Kaidon Salter (Liberty) |
OTB |
200/1 ↓ |
|
Maalik Murphy (Duke) |
OTB |
200/1 ↓ |
|
Max Johnson (UNC) |
150/1 |
200/1 ↑ |
|
Omarion Hampton (UNC) |
200/1 |
200/1 |
|
Payton Thorne (Auburn) |
OTB |
200/1 ↓ |
|
Rocco Becht (Iowa State) |
OTB |
200/1 ↓ |
|
Thomas Castellanos (Boston College) |
OTB |
200/1 ↓ |
|
CJ Baxter (Texas) |
66/1 |
OTB ↑ |
|
J.J. McCarthy |
16/1 |
OTB ↑ |
|
Note: Others on request. |
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