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Both SMU and Virginia can reach season goals with a victory in this one. SMU would clinch a spot in the ACC championship game in its first season as a member of the conference. Virginia would become bowl eligible for the first time since 2021.
SMU vs. Virginia Betting Preview
SMU @ Virginia
Opening Line - The line opened at either -9 or -10 favoring SMU depending on the book.
Line Trend - This one has moved between 10 and 9.
Sagarin – Sagarin gives us a number of 8.91, suggesting we have a very slight overlay or an accurate line.
Action Trend – 70% to 80% of the action was on the Mustangs.
Comparables
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Key Matchup
Virginia’s Jonas Sanker has proven himself one of the nation’s top defensive backs this year, but the safety is going to be tested by SMU quarterback Kevin Jennings and the Mustangs’ wide receiver depth. SMU has had at least seven receivers catch a pass in every game this season except one, and its versatile offense has proven able to handle injuries and adversity along the way. Virginia has had success when blitzing, but SMU has allowed just 11 sacks in 10 games this season.
Players to Watch
SMU: Running back Brashard Smith does it all, with 1,026 rushing yards, 203 receiving and an additional 243 on kickoff returns. Last week, he became the 12th player in program history to break the 1,000-yard mark in a season as a running back.
Virginia: Third-string QB Grady Brosterhous comes in for short-yardage situations, when the team runs a play inspired by the Philadelphia Eagles’ “tush push.” Brosterhous is 8 of 9 this year when needing the yard. It’s a family specialty for offensive lineman Blake Steen, whose older brother Tyler is on the Eagles' offensive line.
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