2025 College Football Week 1 Line Shifts Examined

We get to see the best non-conference game of the regular season in Week 1 this Saturday.

The SEC against the Big Ten.

The Texas Longhorns against the Ohio State Buckeyes.

No. 1 against No. 2 in one poll (#1 vs. #3 in the AP Top 25).

And you don’t have to wait all day for it, as the game starts at 12 p.m. ET.

There are also some other great non-conference matchups in LSU/Clemson, Notre Dame/Miami and Alabama/Florida State.

The oddsmakers at SportsBetting.ag opened all the FBS game lines for Week 1 in late May. Since then, there have been some significant changes, and they are noted below.

Notes:

1. The largest spread is Penn State (-44) vs Nevada.
2. The smallest spread is Oregon State (-1.5) vs California.
3. Alabama (-13.5) over FSU is the largest road favorite.
4. These three games have switched favorites since initial release.
   1. Temple (-2.5) at UMass
   2. TCU (-3.5) at North Carolina
   3. Georgia Southern (-2) at Fresno State
5. These games have had the biggest line movements:
   1. Hawaii/Arizona moved 7 points from -11 to -18 in favor of Arizona.
   2. TCU/North Carolina moved 5.5 points from UNC -2 to +3.5.
   3. Ohio/Rutgers moved 5 points from -10.5 to -15.5 in favor of Rutgers.
   4. Temple/UMass moved 4 points from Temple +1.5 to -2.5.
   5. Colorado State/Washington moved 4 points from UW -18.5 to -22.5.
   6. Western Michigan/Michigan State moved 3.5 points from MSU -17.5 to -21.
   7. Georgia Southern/Fresno State moved 3.5 points from Fresno State -1.5 to +2.
   8. UNLV/Sam Houston moved 3.5 points from UNLV -13.5 to -10.
   1. Toledo/Kentucky moved 3.5 points from Kentucky -11.5 to -8.
6. Five game lines are unchanged:
   1. Kennesaw St/Wake Forest
   2. Old Dominion/Indiana
   3. Alabama/FSU
   4. New Mexico/Michigan
   5. Notre Dame/Miami

College Football Week 1

Thursday, August 28

• Boise State (-6) at South Florida

Note: Line opened -9½.

• Ohio at Rutgers (-15½)

Note: Line opened -10½.

• East Carolina at NC State (-14)

Note: Line opened -12½.

• Jacksonville State at UCF (-18½)

Note: Line opened -16½.

• Wyoming (-7) at Akron

Note: Line opened -9½.

• Buffalo at Minnesota (-17½)

Note: Line opened -18.

• Nebraska (-7) at Cincinnati

Note: Neutral game in Arrowhead Stadium. Cincinnati is considered the home team.

Note: Line opened -6½.

• Miami (OH) @ Wisconsin (-17)

Note: Line opened -18.

Friday, August 29

• Western Michigan at Michigan State (-21)

Note: Line opened -17½.

• Kennesaw State at Wake Forest (-17½)

Note: Line is unchanged.

• Appalachian State (-6½) at Charlotte

Note: Line opened -8½.

• Auburn (-2½) at Baylor

Note: Line opened -2.

• Georgia Tech (-5) at Colorado

Note: Line opened -3½.

• UNLV (-10) at Sam Houston

Note: Line opened -13½.

• Central Michigan at San Jose State (-11½)

Note: Line opened -10½.

Saturday, August 30

• Texas at Ohio State (-2½)

Note: Line opened -3.

• Syracuse at Tennessee (-13½)

Note: Neutral game in Atlanta. Tennessee is considered the home team.

Note: Line opened -12½.

• Mississippi State (-13) at Southern Miss

Note: Line opened -14.

• Florida Atlantic at Maryland (-14½)

Note: Line opened -16½.

• Ball State at Purdue (-17½)

Note: Line opened -16½.

• Northwestern at Tulane (-5½)

Note: Line opened -6½.

• Toledo at Kentucky (-8)

Note: Line opened -11½.

• Old Dominion at Indiana (-23½)

Note: Line is unchanged

• Nevada at Penn State (-44)

Note: Line opened -45.

• Marshall at Georgia (-39½)

Note: Line opened -38½.

• Alabama (-13½) at Florida State

Note: Line is unchanged.

• Temple (-2½) at Massachusetts

Note: Line opened Massachusetts -1½. There is a new favorite.

• Coastal Carolina at Virginia (-11)

Note: Line opened -12½.

• UTSA at Texas A&M (-24½)

Note: Line opened -22.

• LSU at Clemson (-3½)

Note: Line opened -3.

• New Mexico at Michigan (-34½)

Note: Line unchanged.

• UTEP at Utah State (-6)

Note: Line opened -3½.

• Missouri State at USC (-35)

Note: Line opened -33.

• Georgia State at Ole Miss (-35)

Note: Line opened -37½.

• Rice at Louisiana (-11½)

Note: Line opened -14½.

• Eastern Michigan at Texas State (-13½)

Note: Line opened -14.

• Georgia Southern (-2) at Fresno State

Note: Line opened Fresno State -1½. Georgia Southern is now favored.

• California at Oregon State (-1½)

Note: Line opened -2½.

• Hawaii at Arizona (-18)

Note: Line opened -11.

• Utah (-6) at UCLA

Note: Line opened -3½.

• Colorado State at Washington (-22½)

Note: Line opened -18½.

Sunday, August 31

• Virginia Tech at South Carolina (-7½)

Note: Neutral game in Atlanta. South Carolina is considered the home team

Note: Line opened -9½.

• Notre Dame (-2½) at Miami

Note: Line is unchanged.

Monday, September 1

• TCU (-3½) at North Carolina

Note: Line opened North Carolina -2. TCU is now the favorite.