Bet on Will the Dow Jones Close Below 30,000 at Market Close Any Time in April

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Apr/07/2025

The people who set probabilities for a living are not painting a pretty picture for financial markets.

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This morning, BetOnline.ag re-opened EOW/EOM/EOY prices for the DOW Jones and select cryptocurrencies.

The odds suggest the Dow only has around a 30% chance at closing higher than 40k this week, but they also suggest that the Dow won't dip below 30k at any point during April.

The crypto market has taken a beating as well, and the EOY projections for all three coins below are listed under where they are currently trading (at time of this writing).

Finally, there's a prop asking whether or not any member of President Trump's cabinet will be fired or will resign due to the tariffs and market tanks. The "No" is a heavy favorite.

 

Will the Dow Jones close at 40,000+ at market close on April 11?

Yes       3/2       (+150)

No        1/2       (-200)

(Odds imply a 67% probability Dow will not close higher than 40k)

 

Will the Dow Jones close below 30,000 at market close any time in April?

Yes       3/2       (+150)

No        1/2       (-200)

(Odds imply a 67% probability Dow will not close lower than 30k)

 

Bitcoin Price at End of 2025

Over/Under      78k dollars

 

Ripple Price at End of 2025

Over/Under      170 cents

 

Ethereum Price at End of 2025

Over/Under      1500 dollars

 

Will any Trump Cabinet member leave post due to tariffs/markets?

Yes       4/1       (+400)

No        1/8       (-800)

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