Biden Suddenly Leading in Some Polls, Not Yet in the Odds

Written by:
Gilbert Horowitz
Published on:

US President Joe Biden has seen a nice bounce in the polls conducted the days leading up to last Thursday's State of the Union.


Biden was still lagging in the odds (+150 to -110) versus former US President and likely GOP nominee for 2024 Donald Trump.

In fact, Trump was likely to clinch the nomination by Tuesday evening with primaries to be held in Washington, Georgia, Hawaii and Mississippi.

In the four contests Tuesday, 161 GOP delegates are at stake. Trump has over 1,075 delegates, according to CBS News estimates, and is closing in on the 1,215 delegates needed to secure the nomination.

Trump would be the first Republican in history ever to secure the presidential nomination three straight times.

And the good news for Biden, the Kaiser Family Foundation showed him leading Trump 47 percent to 44 percent. There were 1,072 registered voters surveyed between February 20 and 28 in this poll.  It was conducted prior to Biden's State of the Union speech.

Another poll of 1,350 registered voters by Emerson College had Biden ahead of the Republican by two percentage points, 51 percent to 49 percent. The survey was carried out between March 5 and 6, also just prior to the SOTU.

Of the 6,334 registered voters surveyed by Morning Consult between March 1 and 5, 44 percent would vote for Biden and 43 percent for Trump.

And Biden would beat Trump 43 percent to 42 percent, according to TIPP polling.

In the critical swing state of Georgia, an Emerson College Polling/The Hill found Trump leading Biden by 4 points, 46 percent to 42 percent, with 12 percent undecided.

The former president’s lead expands to 6 points when other third-party candidates are included.

A Morning Consult poll conducted post-SOTU had Biden down one point versus Trump, 43 percent to 44 percent.

- Gilbert Horowitz,

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