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It's impossible to even fathom UMBC beating Virginia here so we won't even go there. Whether they can cover the 21 point spread is a different story. Virginia won nine of their last ten games, only one by more than the current spread.
The Retrievers defense forces opponents to turn the ball over. Both Jairus Lyles and KJ Maura averaged more than two steals per game this season, ranking 2nd and 3rd in the conference in steal rate.
Only 12 teams in the nation scored a higher percentage of their points from outside the arc than UMBC so we really like the Retrievers chances of covering the 21 point spread here as underdogs.
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Odds to win 2018 NCAA Men's Tournament - East Regional (3/25/18)
Odds to win 2018 NCAA Men's Tournament - Midwest Regional (3/25/18)
Odds to win 2018 NCAA Men's Tournament - South Regional (3/24/18)
Odds to win 2018 NCAA Men's Tournament - West Regional (3/24/18)
Odds to win 2017-18 NCAA Men's Tournament (4/2/18)
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- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com