Warriors vs. Kings Free Pick, Latest Betting Odds

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The Golden State Warriors head to Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday, February 2, 2018. The opening line for this game has Golden State as 12.5 point favorites.

The Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 40-11. They are 1st in the Pacific Division. They currently have a point differential of 7.9 as they are averaging 115.6 points per game while giving up 107.7 per contest. The Kings have an overall mark of 16-34. They currently are 5th in the Pacific Division. They are averaging 98.2 points per contest and giving up 106.5, which is a point differential of -8.3.

ATS trends for each team

The Golden State Warriors are 22-28-1 against the spread
The Golden State Warriors are 27-24-0 against the over/under
The Sacramento Kings are 21-26-3 against the spread
The Sacramento Kings are 27-23-0 against the over/under


01/19/18 F Jordan Bell Ankle is out indefinitely
10/18/17 F Harry Giles Knee is out for season
01/30/18 F Skal Labissiere Shoulder is "?" Friday vs Golden State
01/30/18 C Willie Cauley-Stein Knee is "?" Friday vs Golden State
01/02/18 PG Frank Mason Heel is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kevin Durant comes into this game averaging 25.6 points per contest while playing 34.7 minutes per night so far this year. He grabs 6.9 rebounds per contest and distributes 5.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is 89%. Klay Thompson averages 20.3 points per contest in 34.3 minutes per game this year. He averages 2.6 assists per game and 4 rebounds per contest for Golden State. His field goal percentage is 49% for the season while his free throw percentage is 87%.

Buddy Hield has scored 12.4 points per contest while playing 24.1 minutes per game this season for the Kings. He hauls in 3.5 rebounds per contest and has 1.6 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 90%. Zach Randolph averages 14.5 points per game this year and he's on the court an average of 25.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 7 rebounds per game and 2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 78%.

Important Team Statistics

Golden State averages 115.6 points per contest this year, which is 1st in the league. Their average scoring margin is 7.98 and their shooting percentage is 51% as a unit, which has them ranked 1st. From 3-point territory they shoot 39%, which is good for 1st in the NBA. They average 44 boards per contest and 30.5 assists per game, which ranks them 13th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 5th with 15.7 per game. The Warriors allow 107.7 points per contest which is 22nd in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 16th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.2 rebounds a game which ranks 10th, and they allow 23.1 assists per game which puts them in 17th place in the league. They force 14.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 13th in the NBA.

Sacramento is 30th in the NBA with 98.2 points per contest this season. They are 22nd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -8.3. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 2nd in the league. They are 29th in the NBA in rebounding with 40.3 boards per contest and 28th in assists per game with 20.9. The Kings are 16th in turnovers per contest with 14.4. The Kings give up 106.5 points per game, which ranks them 19th in the league. Their defense is surrendering a 48% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 29th and 30th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 24.2 dimes allowed per game and 19th with 43.7 boards surrendered per contest. The Kings are 17th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.8 per contest this year.

And the pick for tonight is: (get info for all NBA games + yesterday’s results here)

Take Under 222 Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings (Friday, Feb 2 10:35 PM)

Friday night the defending champs visit the Sacramento Kings at the Golden 1 Center and the oddsmakers are telling us this should be an easy road victory. The Warriors opened up a 13-point road favorite against the Kings but I feel their great value in the game with the total. Late November at Golden St the Kings stole game beating the Warriors 110-106 but the Warriors didn’t have Curry or Durant but that could cause a painful redemption game for the Warriors.

That game in November went over the total but that total was only 205 and tonight at the Golden 1 Center the total is posted at 222. That is a huge number for a Golden State team that is playing at full strength tonight on the road and when the Warriors are at full strength their team defense is outstanding. The Warriors are coming into this game after a horrible showing in Utah were the Jazz beat them by 30-points and the Warriors defense allowed the Jazz to score 129 points. The Kings come into this game after a big road win in New Orleans beating the Pelicans 114-103 but I don’t see the Kings offense putting up that king of performance against the champs. Warriors head coach grilled his team after the loss to the Jazz and Friday night I see the Warriors defense playing their ‘A’ game and tonight I see this game staying under the 222 total. Warriors get their revenge tonight against the Kings and wouldn’t shock me to see the Warriors cover this big number and the total stays under.

Trends: The last five meetings between these two Western Conference teams all four of them have gone under the total. The last seven meetings in Sacramento  when these two teams play the under has cashed six of them.

Raphael Esparza has more than 13 years of experience as a sportsbook manager at four of the biggest, most well-known sportsbooks on the Las Vegas Strip. He has more than 20 years of handicapping and gambling experience and more than two-decade’s worth of sports betting experience. His position has given him contacts and access to the sharpest lines and action in the industry, and he has used that to help his clients earn a ridiculous amount of cash over the last several years. Esparza has been one of the best basketball handicappers out there this season and he is on his way to another winning hoop season in both the NBA and College Basketball.

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