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Oregon vs. USC Spread: Little Line Movement Reported

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Oct/26/2010
Oregon vs. USC

The Oregon vs. USC spread was at number one Oregon -7 across the board.  There was zero variance in the line on this game as of Tuesday night.  This is unusual in that nearly 95 percent of the spread action was coming in on the Ducks.  Oregon was already the most bet on team of the weekend.

It’s not surprising that so many people are loving the Ducks these days.  They are currently ranked number one on both the AP Top 25 poll and USA Today, though relegated to number two on the BCS Standings. 

"It's a big thing, it's exciting, we just have to show that we're deserving of No. 1," linebacker Casey Matthews said. "We just go out and play our normal game. That's just how we treat it, ranking shouldn't matter. The coaches do a great job of keeping our heads level."

They will be playing a tough USC team that comes into this game with a 5-2 record.

Scouts Inc. says of this game:

This game features the nation's most potent spread-option attack (Oregon) against the most effective pro-style quarterback in the country (Barkley). Neither defense matches up well, but the team that tackles best in space and forces the most turnovers will win. Aliotti's defense is better than Monte Kiffin's in both departments, which is why we like the Ducks to avoid the upset in Los Angeles.

Scouts Inc. predicts an Oregon victory by just 5 points, which essentially means a USC cover.

Scroll down below to get the latest betting trends on this game (not featuring the Gambling911.com “gambler’s edge” when applicable). 

 

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As a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points, Oregon is just 3-11 since 1992.  The Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.  They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.  (edge:  USC

The home team has won the last 4 games in this series, all wins by 7 or more points (the current spread). 

The Ducks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.

The Ducks are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. win while the Trojans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win. (edge: Oregon)

USC is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 conference games.

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com 

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