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Oklahoma State vs. Kansas Betting Line at Jayhawks -15

Written by:
Carrie Stroup
Published on:
Feb/15/2016
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas Betting Line at Jayhawks -15

Carrie Stroup here with your Oklahoma State vs. Kansas betting line in which the Jayhawks are a -15 point favorite.

OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (12-13, 3-9 Big 12) at KANSAS JAYHAWKS (21-4, 9-3 Big 12)

Kansas -15, Total: 137.5

No. 6 Kansas looks to stay hot when it hosts a pesky Oklahoma State squad on Monday night.

The Cowboys (13-9 ATS overall) are just 3-9 SU in conference play this season, but five of those losses have been by five points or less. They are 6-3-1 ATS in the past 10 games, which includes a 58-55 overtime win over Kansas State on Saturday.

The Jayhawks (14-8 ATS overall) have been rolling with five straight wins (SU and ATS) including knocking off Oklahoma in Norman by a 76-72 score on Saturday. The team has shot at least 46% FG in each of the five consecutive victories while holding opponents to 37% FG or less in each of the past three games.

Although Kansas is 10-1 SU at home in this series since 1997, Oklahoma State has won each of the past two meetings, including an 86-67 blowout victory just four weeks ago on Jan. 19 in Stillwater. In that game, the Cowboys drained 11-of-21 threes (52%) and connected on 23-of-26 FT (89%), while the Jayhawks made 6-of-22 threes (27%) and a dreadful 13-of-25 FT (52%).

There are plenty of reasons for bettors to choose either side of this massive spread, as double-digit underdogs after going under the total by 18+ points over their previous three games are 350-253 ATS (58%) since 1997, while favorites revenging an SU loss versus an opponent as a favorite of 7+ points, with 2+ more starters returning from last season than the opponent, are a whopping 41-17 ATS (71%) over the past five seasons.

Oklahoma State is also 15-5 ATS after 2+ straight Unders in the past three seasons, while Kansas is 8-1 ATS after scoring 75+ points in two straight games this season.

Oklahoma State's offense has struggled all season with only 69.0 PPG on 43% FG and 33% threes, and those numbers have dropped to 61.6 PPG on 39% FG in the past five contests. Although this team shoots foul shots pretty well (74.8% FT, 22nd in nation), it has more turnovers (319) than assists (307) this season.

The Cowboys defense has kept them in games this season in limiting opponents to 65.9 PPG (46th in D-I) on 40% FG (32nd in nation) and 32% threes, and these numbers have improved greatly to 61.6 PPG and 38% FG over the past five contests.

Oklahoma State continues to miss do-it-all G Jawun Evans (12.9 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 4.9 APG, 1.1 SPG), who has been sidelined for the past three games with his injured shoulder. He was the best player on the court against Kansas last month when he contributed 22 points, eight assists and six rebounds in the 19-point win.

G Jeff Newberry (10.6 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 1.6 SPG) also played well that game with 13 points on 5-of-10 FG. Newberry had a huge game on Saturday with 10 points, 10 rebounds, five assists, three steals and two blocks in the overtime win over Kansas State. But for his team to sweep the season series, he'll need to shoot much better than his recent 6-of-28 FG clip (21%) over his past three contests.

F Leyton Hammonds (10.6 PPG, 5.2 RPG) has really picked up his offense with Evans out, pumping in six straight double-figure scoring games (12.8 PPG). Hammonds didn't do much against Kansas last month though, with only six points (2-of-8 FG) and three rebounds.

The Cowboys have only two other players averaging more than five points per game this season, F Chris Olivier (8.5 PPG, 3.0 RPG) and G Jeffrey Carroll (8.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG). Olivier was held scoreless on Saturday in just five minutes of action, but Carroll has been outstanding in three games with Evans sidelined, scoring 11.0 PPG with 6.7 PRG while draining 6-of-12 threes. He also scored 11 points with five rebounds in the Jan. 19 upset of the visiting Jayhawks.

Kansas has an explosive offense that has generated 82.7 PPG (17th in nation) on 49% FG (12th in D-I) and 42% threes (4th in nation) this season. The Jayhawks are very efficient with 16.1 APG and only 12.5 TOPG, which equals a strong 1.3 Ast/TO ratio. The defense allows a pedestrian 68.8 PPG, but limits opponents to 40% FG and 33% threes.

Kansas has four main scorers it relies on with F Perry Ellis (16.6 PPG, 6.5 RPG), G Wayne Selden Jr. (14.0 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 2.6 APG), G Frank Mason III (13.1 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 4.6 APG, 1.4 SPG) and G Devonte' Graham (11.3 PPG, 3.7 APG, 1.4 SPG).

The senior Ellis is knocking down 52% FG and 49% threes this season, and has at least 10 points in 20 straight games. Ellis had a subpar game in Stillwater last month with 13 points (3-of-10 FG, 7-of-12 FT) and only three rebounds.

Selden also struggled that night with seven points (3-of-8 FG), two assists and three turnovers in 29 minutes of action. The junior has been hot from long range this season in making 43% threes, which is way up from his 37% clip from last season. But since lighting up Kentucky for 33 points, Selden has gone cold in the past four games with only 6.8 PPG on 31% FG and 3-of-19 threes.

The junior Mason has scored at least a dozen points in each of the past three contests (13.3 PPG), including a 14-point effort at Oklahoma on Saturday before fouling out. Mason scored a team-high 14 points in Stillwater four weeks ago, but made only 4-of-12 shots with zero assists and two turnovers. Graham has been outstanding in running the offense with a 2.8 Assist/Turnover ratio this season (40th in nation), and is coming off a career-high 27 points (8-of-13 FG, 6-of-9 threes) in Saturday's victory.

- Carrie Stroup, Gambling911.com Senior Reporter

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