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Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 3 Pick: 2011 NBA Finals

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Jun/04/2011
Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 3 Pick

Gambling911.com’s Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 3 pick will once again be on Dallas at -2.5 at BetDSI.com.

 

Why we like Dallas

Prior to their Game 1 loss vs. Miami on the road, Dallas had won their last 8 against Miami. 

Dallas is 14-3 Against The Spread in all Playoffs games.  They are basically winning 82 percent of the time.

The Mavericks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.

The Mavericks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.

The Heat are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog.

Dallas attacked the basket with much more success in Game 2 than in Game 1. The Mavericks made 15 of 23 shots from inside 5 feet of the basket, and if this trend is to consider, the Mavs will be well on their way to an NBA Finals victory.  Dirk Nowitzki contributed 24 points and delivered the game winning layup with 3.6 seconds left on the clock.

In Game 1, the Mavericks shot 44.4 percent inside of 5 feet, which was their second-lowest this postseason, which is why Gambling911.com believes that performance to be a fluke. 

Dallas erased a 15 point deficit by going on a 22-5 run towards the end of Game 2. 

Again, we say go with Dallas and the -2.5 points. 

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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