Daily Fantasy NBA Player Value Watch – March 19: Eric Bledsoe, James Harden
Gambling911.com has your daily fantasy NBA player watch for the upcoming days. This is an easy to follow analysis broken down by date then by individual player. Keep in mind, players are regularly added to these Value Watches so you may wish to come back for updates.
It’s a limited slate Thursday night but we have tons of picks for the upcoming days.
March 19 – Eric Bledsoe, *James Harden, PJ Tucker
March 20 – DeMarcus Cousins, Bradley Beal, Aaron Brooks, Gerald Henderson, Damian Lillard, Nerlens Noel, LeMarcus Aldridge, Robin Lopez, Brook Lopez
March 21 – James Harden
March 22 - Gerald Henderson, Nikola Vucevic, DeMar DeRozan, Nerlens Noel
March 23 – Bradley Beal, Nikola Mirotic
March 24 – Nerlens Noel
March 25 - Nerlens Noel
Eric Bledsoe (Phoenix - PG) $8.1K – March 19 – Needing only 40 fantasy points, Bledsoe will face a team that has given up the most fantasy points to opposing point guards this month. He easily made value against the Knicks Sunday night. He did the same facing off against New Orleans the last time.
James Harden (Houston - SG) $10.5K – March 19 - Denver allows the most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards. He will go up against the Nuggets on March 19. He had little trouble making value vs. Denver the last time he played them. *The blowout potential is here so exercise some caution as minutes could be reduced.
March 21 - Harden flirted with 75 fantasy points the last time he met Phoenix. Nuff said.
You will notice there are no back-to-back games for Houston over their next five meetings. Make sure Harden is not slated to sit out any of the games against under .500 opponents such as Orlando and Denver.
PJ Tucker (Phoenix - SF) $5.7K – March 19 – This is a decent play on a night with a limited slate. New Orleans is having trouble against both shooting guards and small forwards. Tucker needs roughly 27 fantasy points to make value. Against Atlanta the other night, Tucker flirted with that target number. He failed to make value against New Orleans the last time facing them but again there are not many options on this night.
Damian Lillard (Portland - PG) $8.1K – March 20 – Entering Wednesday’s game against Miami, Lillard had averaged 38 fantasy points over his last five games. That trend ended by failing to cross over the 30 fantasy point mark against the Heat. Lillard needs to hit 32 to make value. Orlando is giving up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing point guards so we really don’t see a situation where Lillard can’t make value here on the road. Portland lost to Miami so it’s doubtful Lillard or any of the key starters will be sitting in this one.
Lamarcus Aldridge (Portland - PF) $9K - March 20 – Orlando is allowing the 7th most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season. He was fantastic against Miami Wednesday night, racking up over 55 fantasy points. He nearly hit value against Orlando the last time facing them on January 10.
Robin Lopez (Portland - C) $5K - March 20 – Of the Trailblazers starters, Lopez probably has the best value Friday night needing only 25 fantasy points against an Orlando team that is giving up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing centers. Versus Miami he hit around 22 fantasy points (not counting turnovers, which were plentiful).
Brook Lopez (Brooklyn - C) $6.7K - March 20 – This is a good pick for Friday going up against a Bucks team that is giving up the most fantasy points to opposing centers. Lopez made value Wednesday night against the Cavs.
Nerlens Noel (Philadelphia - C) $6.7K – March 20 - Have him against the Knicks, simply because they are the Knicks.
March 22 - Have him against the Lakers, simply because they are the Lakers.
March 24 - And have him on your roster against the Kings, a team he accumulated over 40 fantasy points against the last time he faced them.
March 25 - Noel faces a Denver team he hit near 30 fantasy points against the last time facing them.
DeMar DeRozan (Toronto - SG) $7.2K – March 22 - Minnesota is also having it difficulties against opposing shooting guards, giving up the 8th most fantasy points to that position. DeRozan did make value the last time facing the T-Wolves.
Russell Westbrook (Oklahoma – PG) - $12.5K - March 22 - The Knicks allow the 7th most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards. It’s interesting to note that DeRozan did not reach value the last time facing New York a few weeks back. This despite playing 40:18 minutes. For that reason, we do have our reservations about playing DeRozan. He’s an option but not a top consideration.
DeMarcus Cousins (Sacramento - C) $9.5K – March 20 - DeMarcus Cousins is on fire and he did manage to make value last time he faced the Hornets but he probably shouldn’t be the first consideration on this day unless value is limited elsewhere.
Nikola Mirotic - (Chicago - PF) $7.6K – March 23 - Charlotte is looming large on the 23rd. Mirotic just made value against the Hornets coming off the bench. It helps that they have struggled against power forwards of late. He easily made value as a starter against Philadelphia in his previous game.
Gerald Henderson (Charlotte - SG) $5.1K - March 20 - A better option is using Henderson against Sacramento, a team that ranks dead last against shooting guards. He flirted with 40 fantasy points the last time facing Sacramento. This one goes off March 20 so watch for price changes between now and then.
March 22 - Minnesota gives up the 8th most fantasy points allowed to opposing shooting guards. He reached value last time facing the T-Wolves. This one goes off March 22 so watch for price changes.
Nikola Vucevic (Orlando - C) $8.7K - March 22 - Denver is coming up and they have permitted the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing centers. The last time he faced the Nuggets, Vucevic tallied up just over 35 fantasy points. He only needs that amount to make value and is very likely to do so.
- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com
