Celtics vs. Cavs NBA Playoffs Free Pick (May 11)

Written by:
Johnny Detroit
Published on:
May/11/2010

This Celtics vs. Cavs NBA Playoffs free pick for Tuesday May 11 is courtesy of Pregame.com.  Visit Pregame.com for all your free picks and sports handicapping needs.

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The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Boston Celtics in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference playoff clash. This has been a very hotly contested series, so it's only natural that this series is currently tied. Tonight's winner will take a decisive 3-2 series lead, and will be one step closer to the Conference Championship. The Cavaliers are 7.5 favorites, with a total of 193.5 points expected tonight. TNT will televise the game starting at 8:00 EDT.

Cleveland entered this playoff series as the odds on favorite to win the Championship, yet they are stuck in a battle with Boston. Cleveland has alternated wins and losses against the Celtics, as the series returns back to Boston tied 2-2. The Cavaliers were dominated by Rajon Rondo in Game 4, and it appears that F LeBron James will draw the defensive assignment in Game 5. The reigning MVP was also voted to the All-Defensive team this season. The Cavaliers only scored 87 PTS in Game 4, ultimately losing by 10 to Boston. Cleveland was held under 90 PTS for the 3rd time in 8 overall meetings with the Celtics this season. James is averaging 30.9 PPG this post-season, making 54% of his field goal attempts along the way. F Antawn Jamison is averaging 17.1 PPG during the playoffs, as he continues to be scoring option #2 for the Cavaliers. Cleveland is 39-7 SU and 19-26-1 ATS in home games this season. Cleveland is 5-1 ATS as a home favorite between 6.5 and 9 PTS this season.  

The Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. The Over is 6-2 in their last 8 home games against a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600%.

Boston refuses to give up in their series with Cleveland, as they won Game 4 to even up their series at 2-2. Boston used their experience and their defense to earn the big win and keep their upset dreams alive. This is arguably the Celtics last stand, as the nucleus of the team is getting up in years. The one way the Celtics are staying young is the fine play of PG Rajon Rondo. Rondo had 29 PTS, 18 rebounds, and 13 assists in a dynamic Game 4 performance. Rondo filled the stat sheet like only 2 players in NBA Playoff history, Wilt Chamberlain and Oscar Robertson. Rondo has had a breakout playoffs thus far, with Game 4 being the obvious highlight as he single handily kept the Celtics championship hopes alive. Rondo leads the Celtics in PPG, RPG, and APG this year in the playoffs thus far. F Kevin Garnett is averaging 17 PPG and making better than 52% of his shots during the playoffs. Boston has been a great road team all season, so they will look to win in Cleveland for the 3rd time this season tonight. The Celtics are 28-17 SU and 23-21-1 ATS in road contests this season. Boston is 0-2 ATS as a road underdog between 6.5 and 9 PTS this year.

The Celtics are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win. The Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games as an underdog.

Pregame.com projects the final score to be 97-89 in favor of the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Under 193.5 is the Total of the Day!

Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com         

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