Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament Odds

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The Dayton Flyers made the Elite Eight a season ago behind Archie Miller and a team that was able to overcome a lack of size throughout the season. The Flyers just got into the NCAA tournament as a number 11 seed, but once they got in, they were magical, beating third-seeded Syracuse to advance to the Sweet 16. The Flyers then beat Stanford to make the Elite Eight before Florida stopped them. This team isn’t an exact replica of that Elite Eight team, but some players are still part of the mix, and knowing how last season went should give a lot of comfort and confidence to this Dayton roster. The Flyers know they have the right coach to lead them, and they know that since no one player is depended on to an extreme extent, this team can showcase balance over the course of three games in Brooklyn.

Dayton is in good position to win for another reason as well: Virginia Commonwealth, a team that was very strong in the earlier part of the season, watched guard Briante Weber get injured. Weber was in many ways the heart of the team, the player most responsible for creating defensive pressure and forcing turnovers. Without Weber, VCU has been an ordinary team, so Dayton definitely gets a better chance than VCU of winning this tournament. Rhode Island has been in the top five of the conference standings all season, but the Rams did not get nearly as many quality wins as Dayton, VCU or Davidson. They’re not a primary favorite.

If not Dayton, then the Davidson Wildcats certainly make sense as the other primary favorite. Davidson stormed down the stretch to win the league, winning its last few games in blowout fashion. The Wildcats share the ball in much the same way Dayton does. One gets the feeling that the final is going to pit these mirror-image clubs against each other.


There are five teams that have been near the top of the league all season, so a sleeper candidate that would make sense is someone such as Massachusetts or George Washington. These teams were bubble teams at one point but must now win the A-10 tournament to make the NCAA tournament. These kinds of teams will be very motivated, more so than VCU or Dayton, which have already secured NCAA bids.

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