San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Free Baseball Pick

This San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves free baseball pick is courtesy of Pregame.com.  Be sure to check out Pregame.com for all your free baseball picks needs.

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The Atlanta Braves welcome the San Diego Padres to town in what figures to be a classic series involving 2 of the very best teams in the National League. Both teams have World Series aspirations, so this series should be quite competitive. The Braves are -165 favorites tonight, with a total of 8 runs expected. This game starts at 7:10 EDT.

Atlanta has sustained their winning ways for quite some time now, resulting in a commanding 5 game lead in the National League East. Atlanta is 54-38 SU this season, including an unbelievable 32-12 SU at home. The Braves are +10.01 and +9.12 units both SU and on the RL respectively this season. P Jair Jurrjens will make the home start tonight and keep up his fine form of late. For the season, Jurrjens is 2-3 with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.30. The Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games during game 1 of a series. Atlanta is 22-8 in their last 30 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Braves are 8-3 in their last 11 home games against a left-handed starter. Atlanta is 4-0 in Jurrjens' last 4 home starts overall. The Braves are 4-1 in Jurrjens' last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 13-5 in Jurrjens' last 18 starts against the National League West. Atlanta is 3-11 in Jurrjens' last 14 starts during game 1 of a series.

The Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. Third Baseman Chipper Jones is listed as Questionable tonight with a hamstring injury.

San Diego continues their improbable run, as they have won each of their 4 games since the All-Star break. The Padres are 54-37 SU this season, the best record in the entire National League. San Diego has a 4 game lead in the National League West division. The Padres continue to be the best team in baseball to back from a betting standpoint, as they are +20.48 and +12.42 units both SU and on the RL overall this year. Lefty Wade LeBlanc will make the road start tonight, as he is 4-7 with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.44 this year. The Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter. San Diego is 2-5 in their last 7 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. The Padres are 4-1 in LeBlanc's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. San Diego is 5-2 in LeBlanc's last 7 road starts against a team with a winning record.

The Padres are 8-2 in their last 10 games following an off day. The Under is 7-2 in their last 9 games following an off day. Right-Fielder Will Venable has been ruled out with a back injury.

Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com