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This San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves free baseball pick is courtesy of Pregame.com. Be sure to check out Pregame.com for all your free baseball picks needs.
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The Atlanta Braves welcome the San Diego Padres to town in what figures to be a classic series involving 2 of the very best teams in the National League. Both teams have World Series aspirations, so this series should be quite competitive. The Braves are -165 favorites tonight, with a total of 8 runs expected. This game starts at 7:10 EDT.
Atlanta has sustained their winning ways for quite some time now, resulting in a commanding 5 game lead in the National League East. Atlanta is 54-38 SU this season, including an unbelievable 32-12 SU at home. The Braves are +10.01 and +9.12 units both SU and on the RL respectively this season. P Jair Jurrjens will make the home start tonight and keep up his fine form of late. For the season, Jurrjens is 2-3 with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.30. The Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games during game 1 of a series. Atlanta is 22-8 in their last 30 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Braves are 8-3 in their last 11 home games against a left-handed starter. Atlanta is 4-0 in Jurrjens' last 4 home starts overall. The Braves are 4-1 in Jurrjens' last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 13-5 in Jurrjens' last 18 starts against the National League West. Atlanta is 3-11 in Jurrjens' last 14 starts during game 1 of a series.
The Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. Third Baseman Chipper Jones is listed as Questionable tonight with a hamstring injury.
San Diego continues their improbable run, as they have won each of their 4 games since the All-Star break. The Padres are 54-37 SU this season, the best record in the entire National League. San Diego has a 4 game lead in the National League West division. The Padres continue to be the best team in baseball to back from a betting standpoint, as they are +20.48 and +12.42 units both SU and on the RL overall this year. Lefty Wade LeBlanc will make the road start tonight, as he is 4-7 with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.44 this year. The Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter. San Diego is 2-5 in their last 7 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. The Padres are 4-1 in LeBlanc's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. San Diego is 5-2 in LeBlanc's last 7 road starts against a team with a winning record.
The Padres are 8-2 in their last 10 games following an off day. The Under is 7-2 in their last 9 games following an off day. Right-Fielder Will Venable has been ruled out with a back injury.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 5-4 in favor of the Atlanta Braves. The Over 8 runs is the Total of the Day!
Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com
