AcePerHead Internal Action Report Shows Nearly 90 Percent of Public Backing Army

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Oct/28/2023

UMass vs. Army featured a line of Black Knights -9.5 with action creeping up to 63% where it had previously been balanced.

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Consensus Cappers Mostly Backing Army

Some 84% of picks were on Army in this one across the board.  Few of the G911 Sports Hub cappers offering plays on this game were particularly stellar when it comes to college football.  However, we will note that long time sports handicapper Ben Burns has been pretty hot with his college football plays of late.  He's on Army.

Line Movement and the Sagarin Number

BetOnline had dropped the number from a peak of -10 to -9.5 as of Saturday morning.  Bookmaker, on the other hand, moved from -9.5 to -10.  Bovada was off the -10 to -9.5. 

AcePerHead Pay Per Head internal numbers (only available at Gambling911.com) were showing that some 87% of the action was on Army, so seeing Pinnacle drop the number to -9 makes us much more interested in Massachusetts here.  We will certainly want to explore that potential in our preview below. 

Sagarin shows Army with a near 20 point spread potential but both these teams are pretty bad to be perfectly frank.

The Quick Take

Over the last two years, Army has devoured UMass.  The Minutemen have one win so far this season while the Black Knights enter with two victories. UMass is 3-5-1 Against The Spread while Army is 2-4-1 ATS.

Pete Futiak of College Football News offered this assessment: It’s simple. Army is 2-0 when it runs for 200 yards or more and 0-5 when it doesn’t. UMass allowed 223 yards per game.

UMass vs. Army Game Props

3 Straight Scores by Either Team

yes

-295

no

+208

Time of First Score O/U 6 (mins elapsed)

Under(6)

+111

Over(6)

-150

Any Team to Score 40+ Points

yes

+317

no

-501

Team to Score First

ARM

-179

UMASS

+132

First score of Game is Touchdown

yes

-334

no

+217

Team to Score Last

ARM

-164

UMASS

+123

Defensive or special teams TD scored

yes

+217

no

-304

Will there be Overtime

yes

+900

no

-2500

Will there be a Scoreless Quarter

yes

+239

no

-345

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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