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What is the Payout on Biden, Trump Winning Wisconsin?

Written by:
Gilbert Horowitz
Published on:
Oct/29/2020

The payout on Republican candidate Donald Trump to win Wisconsin is $24 for every $10 bet.  Democratic candidate Joe Biden is a much heavier favorite in this swing state at -300 and requires a $30 bet to win (make a profit of) $10 (that $30 is refunded just as long as Biden wins).

The Value Pick

Most polls show Biden running away with this race.  Trafalgar Group released its poll showing Biden up by 1, but this is signficant in that Trafalgar leans heavily Republican.  Likewise, an ABC News/Washington Post poll showing Biden up 17 points is likely an outlier, though it's probably an indication that the former US Vice President could be improving beyond the current 6.4 point average.

The surge in coronavirus cases in the Badger State cannot be helping Trump at this time.

The -300 price tag on Biden could actually be considered somewhat of a value based on the poll numbers that are nearing "lock" status. 

Biden Pays $10 for Every $30 Bet (bet refunded provided Biden wins)

Polls

RCP Average 10/16 - 10/26 -- -- 50.3 43.9 Biden +6.4
Trafalgar Group (R)* 10/24 - 10/25 1082 LV 2.9 48 47 Biden +1
Marquette* 10/21 - 10/25 749 LV 4.4 48 43 Biden +5
Reuters/Ipsos 10/20 - 10/26 664 LV 4.0 53 44 Biden +9
ABC News/Wash Post* 10/20 - 10/25 789 LV 4.0 57 40 Biden +17
FOX News* 10/17 - 10/20 1037 LV 3.0 49 44 Biden +5
Susquehanna* 10/16 - 10/19 500 LV 4.3 45 45 Tie
CNBC/Change Research (D) 10/16 - 10/19 LV -- 52 44 Biden +8

- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com

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