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What is the Payout if the Buffalo Bills Win Versus Kansas City Chiefs - AFC Championship

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Jan/25/2021

The books have the Sunday late game between Buffalo and Kansas City as tight as they come.  BetOnline hadn't moved off the KC -3 all week and we've only seen one or two books move up a half point to the -3.5 for a good five minutes.

So let's check out the results for NFL games this season that have mostly stayed on the home team -3 (starting on Week 3 and not taking into account Week 17).

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings - The Vikings won by 34-20.  The line had dropped from Vikings -4 earlier in the week.  The line only closed at -3 the hours ahead of kickoff, so this is not the best comparison. 

The New York Giants vs. Washington Football Team game is a much better comparable with the line mainly hanging at Washington -3 the full week.  The dog, New York, won by 3. 

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Bucs - The -3 didn't show up until the final hours ahead of kickoff.  In fact, the line dropped a full point on Game Day.  The dog, New Orleans, won 38-3.

Buffalo Bills vs. Arizona Cardinals - This one closed at -3 most books the final day after shifting between -2.5 and -3.  Arizona won but failed to cover with the final score 32-30.

Carolina Panthers vs. Minnesota Vikings - Minnesota opened -3.5 and two days prior to Game Day sat on the -3.  Minnesota opens, but by just one point and failing to cover as a result.

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears - This one hung on 3 most of the week with little movement at BetOnline.  Detroit, the dog, won 34-30.

Washington Football Team vs. San Francisco 49ers -  San Francisco was a -3 favorite throughout much of the week and ultimately lost 15-23

LA Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks had the Seahawks as a -3 home favorite the 48 hours leading up to kickoff with the line previously at -4 and -3.5.  Seattle lost 20-30.

Tampa Bay Bucs vs. New Orleans Saints - The line was -3 New Orleans all week at Bovada.  New Orleans lost  20-30.

Last year we had no move off the -3 in a game between the Houston Texans and Tennesee Titans.  Houston won that as the +3 dog 24-21.

Tampa Bay was a solid -3 versus Indianapolis last year with the final score Tampa winning by three points.

The Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers game last season was an exception to these other trends above with the 49ers winning 37-8 and the line not moving off the 3.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns - This one did start the week at -2.5 but closed the final 48 hours -3.  Cleveland won by three points.

BetOnline had the Cowboys as a -3 favorite all week with Minnesota winning 28-24.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Seattle Seahawks - The line was -3.5 and moved to -3 mid week.  Baltimore won 30-16.

The Cowboys had been a -2.5 favorite before closing at -3 the final hours before kickoff against Philadelphia.  Dallas did win 37-10.

The Rams were a solid 3 point favorite the five days leading up to kickoff versus San Francisco.  It was the 49ers who won this game 20-7.

Another beauty: Cincinnati was a -3 favorite for the four days leading up to kickoff with no movement.  Arizona wins 26-23.

Another exception to the above trends: New Orleans was a solid -3 favorite all week but Tampa did win by seven points.  We would caution that the line opened at between -5.5 and -6.5 before quickly moving down to -3 and staying there.

Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans -  Tennessee lost by seven points with the line steady on -3.

Gambling911.com will be on the Buffalo Bills +3 today.  This doesn't mean we don't think Kansas City is not going to the Super Bowl.  We think there is a good chance the Chiefs still win by 1 or 2 points.  Chiefs to win by 1-3 pts  pays $550 for every $100 bet incidentally.

Patrick Mahomes passed concussion protocol but is dealing with another problem: Turf toe.

It involves the plantar plate and ligaments in the big toe and can sometimes sideline a player.  Mahomes is dealing with this issue in his left foot, but it doesn’t appear to be severe, at least that's what we are being told. 

RECORD UPDATED JANUARY 25, 2021 3:30 pm ET

OVERALL COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021: 13-4 76.4%

OVERALL NBA RECORD 2021: 7-8 46.6%

OVERALL NFL RECORD 2020: 16-20 44.4%

OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD: 6-1 85.7%

OVERALL NBA RECORD 2020: 70-47-1 59.8%

SOCCER RECORD 2020 (INCLUDES MLS): 26-16 61.9%

Rot Josh Allen to have 275+ passing yards and BUF to Win Moneyline
601 Yes     +130
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen to have 250+ passing yards and BUF to Win Moneyline
602 Yes     +135
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen to have 2+ passing TDs and BUF to Win Moneyline
604 Yes     +160
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen to have 300+ passing yards and BUF to Win Moneyline
605 Yes     +190
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen to have 3+ passing TDs and BUF to Win Moneyline
606 Yes     +235
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen to have 350+ passing yards and BUF to Win Moneyline
607 Yes     +350
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen to have 400+ passing yards and BUF to Win Moneyline
608 Yes     +800
Must Start
Rot Patrick Mahomes to have 250+ passing yards and KC to Win Moneyline
620 Yes     -180
Must Start
Rot Patrick Mahomes to have 275+ passing yards and KC to Win Moneyline
650 Yes     -170
Must Play
Rot Patrick Mahomes to have 2+ passing TDs and KC to Win Moneyline
651 Yes     -175
Must Play
Rot Patrick Mahomes to have 300+ passing yards and KC to Win Moneyline
652 Yes     -140
Must Play
Rot Patrick Mahomes to have 3+ passing TDs and KC to Win Moneyline
653 Yes     -105
Must Play
Rot Patrick Mahomes to have 350+ passing yards and KC to Win Moneyline
654 Yes     +180
Must Play
Rot Patrick Mahomes to have 400+ passing yards and KC to Win Moneyline
655 Yes     +400
Must Play
Rot Josh Allen (BUF) Total Completions Moneyline
701 Over  25½  Completions -125
702 Under  25½  Completions -105
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen (BUF) Total Passing Yards Moneyline
703 Over  308½  Passing Yards -125
704 Under  308½  Passing Yards -105
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen (BUF) Total Pass Attempts Moneyline
705 Over  38½  Pass Attempts -140
706 Under  38½  Pass Attempts +110
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen (BUF) Will He Throw an Interception Moneyline
707 Yes     -130
708 No     Ev
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen (BUF) Longest Completion Moneyline
709 Over  39½  Longest Completion -115
710 Under  39½  Longest Completion -115
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen (BUF) Total Touchdown Passes Moneyline
711 Over  2½  TD Passes +135
712 Under  2½  TD Passes -165
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen (BUF) Total Rushing Yards Moneyline
713 Over  37½  Rushing Yards -145
714 Under  37½  Rushing Yards +115
Must Start
Rot Josh Allen (BUF) Will he Score a Rushing Touchdown Moneyline
715 Yes     +110
716 No     -140
Must Play
Rot Devin Singletary (BUF) Total Rushing Yards Moneyline
717 Over  42½  Rushing Yards -125
718 Under  42½  Rushing Yards -105
Must Play
Rot Devin Singletary (BUF) Total Receptions Moneyline
719 Over  2½  Receptions -185
720 Under  2½  Receptions +155
Must Play
Rot Devin Singletary (BUF) Total Receiving Yards Moneyline
721 Over  22½  Receiving Yards -115
722 Under  22½  Receiving Yards -115
Must Play
Rot Devin Singletary (BUF) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards Moneyline
723 Over  63½  Rush+Rec Yards -115
724 Under  63½  Rush+Rec Yards -115
Must Play
Rot Stefon Diggs (BUF) Total Receptions Moneyline
725 Over  7½  Receptions -135
726 Under  7½  Receptions +105
Must Play
Rot Stefon Diggs (BUF) Total Receiving Yards Moneyline
727 Over  100½  Receiving Yards -130
728 Under  100½  Receiving Yards Ev
Must Play
Rot Stefon Diggs (BUF) Longest Reception Moneyline
729 Over  26½  Longest Reception -125
730 Under  26½  Longest Reception -105
Must Play - No Recept Under Wins
Rot John Brown (BUF) Total Receptions Moneyline
731 Over  4½  Receptions +110
732 Under  4½  Receptions -140
Must Play
Rot John Brown (BUF) Total Receiving Yards Moneyline
733 Over  56½  Receiving Yards -110
734 Under  56½  Receiving Yards -120
Must Play
Rot John Brown (BUF) Longest Reception Moneyline
735 Over  21½  Longest Reception -115
736 Under  21½  Longest Reception -115
Must Play. No Recept Under Wins.
Rot Cole Beasley (BUF) Total Receptions Moneyline
737 Over  3½  Receptions -190
738 Under  3½  Receptions +160
Must Play
Rot Cole Beasley (BUF) Total Receiving Yards Moneyline
739 Over  49½  Receiving Yards Ev
740 Under  49½  Receiving Yards -130
Must Play
Rot Cole Beasley (BUF) Longest Reception Moneyline
741 Over  19½  Longest Reception -115
742 Under  19½  Longest Reception -115
Must Play. No Recept Under Wins.
Rot Dawson Knox (BUF) Total Receptions Moneyline
743 Over  2½  Receptions +110
744 Under  2½  Receptions -140
Must Play
Rot Dawson Knox (BUF) Total Receiving Yards Moneyline
745 Over  23½  Receiving Yards -120
746 Under  23½  Receiving Yards -110
Must Play
Rot Dawson Knox (BUF) Longest Reception Moneyline
747 Over  13½  Longest Reception -115
748 Under  13½  Longest Reception -115
Must Play. No Recept Under Wins.
Rot Devin Singletary (BUF) Longest Reception Moneyline
749 Over  11½  Longest Reception -105
750 Under  11½  Longest Reception -125
Must Play - No Recept Under Wins
Rot Tyler Bass (BUF) Total Points Moneyline
751 Over  6½  Points -150
752 Under  6½  Points +120
Must Play
Rot Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Completions Moneyline
801 Over  26½  Completions -115
802 Under  26½  Completions -115
Must Start
Rot Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Passing Yards Moneyline
803 Over  315½  Passing Yards -105
804 Under  315½  Passing Yards -125
Must Start
Rot Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Pass Attempts Moneyline
805 Over  37½  Pass Attempts -120
806 Under  37½  Pass Attempts -110
Must Start
Rot Patrick Mahomes (KC) Longest Completion Moneyline
809 Over  39½  Longest Completion -115
810 Under  39½  Longest Completion -115
Must Start
Rot Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Touchdown Passes Moneyline
811 Over  2½  Touchdown Passes -120
812 Under  2½  Touchdown Passes -110
Must Start
Rot Patrick Mahomes (KC) Will He Throw an Interception Moneyline
813 Yes     +150
814 No     -180
Must Start
Rot Tyreek Hill (KC) Total Receptions Moneyline
819 Over  5½  Receptions -150
820 Under  5½  Receptions +120
Must Play
Rot Tyreek Hill (KC) Total Receiving Yards Moneyline
821 Over  79½  Receiving Yards -125
822 Under  79½  Receiving Yards -105
Must Play
Rot Tyreek Hill (KC) Longest Reception Moneyline
823 Over  25½  Longest Reception -115
824 Under  25½  Longest Reception -115
Must Play - No Recept Under Wins
Rot Travis Kelce (KC) Total Receptions Moneyline
825 Over  7½  Receptions -135
826 Under  7½  Receptions +105
Must Play
Rot Travis Kelce (KC) Total Receiving Yards Moneyline
827 Over  97½  Receiving Yards -105
828 Under  97½  Receiving Yards -125
Must Play
Rot Travis Kelce (KC) Longest Reception Moneyline
829 Over  26½  Longest Reception -115
830 Under  26½  Longest Reception -115
Must Play - No Recept Under Wins
Rot Demarcus Robinson (KC) Total Receptions Moneyline
835 Over  2½  Receptions -115
836 Under  2½  Receptions -115
Must Play
Rot Demarcus Robinson (KC) Total Receiving Yards Moneyline
837 Over  29½  Receiving Yards -115
838 Under  29½  Receiving Yards -115
Must Play
Rot Demarcus Robinson (KC) Longest Reception Moneyline
839 Over  15½  Longest Reception -115
840 Under  15½  Longest Reception -115
Must Play. No Recept Under Wins.
Rot Which QB will have more passing yards today Moneyline
860 Josh Allen     +105
861 Patrick Mahomes     -135
 
Rot Player to Score a Touchdown ~ Anytime TD Scorer Moneyline
901 J Allen (BUF)     -110
902 S Diggs (BUF)     -110
903 D Singletary (BUF)     +130
904 C Beasley (BUF)     +180
905 J Brown (BUF)     +220
906 D Knox (BUF)     +260
907 T Yeldon (BUF)     +260
908 G Davis (BUF)     +275
909 L Smith (BUF)     +600
910 T Jones (BUF)     +600
911 Bills DST (BUF)     +275
912 T Kelce (KAN)     -160
913 T Hill (KAN)     -135
914 C Edwards-Helaire (KAN)     +110
915 M Hardman (KAN)     +260
916 S Watkins (KAN)     +260
917 D Williams (KAN)     +275
918 P Mahomes (KAN)     +265
919 D Robinson (KAN)     +300
920 D Yelder (KAN)     +305
921 L Bell (KAN)     +305
922 Chiefs DST (KAN)     +350
923 No Touchdown     +4500
924 Field     +500
All wagers have action.
Rot Player to Score First Touchdown ~ 1st TD Scorer Moneyline
926 J Allen (BUF)     +800
927 S Diggs (BUF)     +750
928 D Singletary (BUF)     +950
929 C Beasley (BUF)     +1400
930 J Brown (BUF)     +1800
931 D Knox (BUF)     +1900
932 T Yeldon (BUF)     +2000
933 G Davis (BUF)     +2000
934 L Smith (BUF)     +4000
935 T Jones (BUF)     +4000
936 Bills DST (BUF)     +2300
937 T Kelce (KAN)     +525
938 T Hill (KAN)     +650
939 C Edwards-Helaire (KAN)     +1000
940 M Hardman (KAN)     +1600
941 S Watkins (KAN)     +1800
942 D Williams (KAN)     +1900
943 P Mahomes (KAN)     +1900
944 D Robinson (KAN)     +2000
945 D Yelder (KAN)     +2000
946 L Bell (KAN)     +2200
947 Chiefs DST (KAN)     +2700
948 No Touchdown     +4500
949 Field     +500
All wagers have action.
Rot Player to Score First Bills Touchdown ~ Bills Moneyline
951 J Allen     +375
952 S Diggs     +375
953 D Singletary     +450
954 C Beasley     +650
955 J Brown     +850
956 D Knox     +900
957 G Davis     +900
958 T Yeldon     +900
959 L Smith     +2000
960 T Jones     +2000
961 Bills DST     +1100
962 No Touchdown     +1300
963 Field     +500
All wagers have action.
Rot Player to Score First Chiefs Touchdown ~ Chiefs Moneyline
965 T Kelce     +275
966 T Hill     +325
967 C Edwards-Helaire     +500
968 M Hardman     +1000
969 S Watkins     +1000
970 D Robinson     +1100
971 D Williams     +1100
972 P Mahomes     +1100
973 D Yelder     +1200
974 L Bell     +1200
975 Chiefs DST     +1400
976 No Touchdown     +1400
977 Field     +500
All wagers have action.
Rot First To Score Moneyline
1001 Bills     -105
1002 Chiefs     -125
 
Rot Score in 1st 5½ min Moneyline
1003 Yes     Ev
1004 No     -130
 
Rot First Score of the Game Moneyline
1005 TD     -190
1006 Any Other Score     +160
 
Rot First Scoring Play Of The Game Moneyline
1007 Bills TD     +180
1008 Bills FG     +425
1009 Bills Any Other Score     +5000
1010 Chiefs TD     +140
1011 Chiefs FG     +375
1012 Chiefs Any Other Score     +5000
 
Rot Will there be a Defensive or Special Teams TD Moneyline
1013 Yes     +200
1014 No     -250
 
Rot Total TDs in the Game Moneyline
1015 Over  6½  TDs -105
1016 Under  6½  TDs -125
 
Rot Total FGs Scored in the Game Moneyline
1017 Over  3½  FGs +110
1018 Under  3½  FGs -140
 
Rot Longest TD in the Game Moneyline
1019 Over  44½  Yards -115
1020 Under  44½  Yards -115
 
Rot Shortest TD in the Game Moneyline
1021 Over  1½  Yards Ev
1022 Under  1½  Yards -130
 
Rot Longest FG Scored in the Game Moneyline
1023 Over  46½  Yards -115
1024 Under  46½  Yards -115
If there is no FG attempted and or made, the Under will count as a winner.
Rot A Team to Score 3 Unanswered Times Moneyline
1025 Yes     -230
1026 No     +190
 
Rot Team To Score Longest TD Moneyline
1027 Bills     +105
1028 Chiefs     -135
 
Rot Team To Score Longest FG Moneyline
1029 Bills     -110
1030 Chiefs     -120
 
Rot Team Scoring 1st Wins Game Moneyline
1031 Yes     -160
1032 No     +130
 
Rot Team to Call 1st Timeout Moneyline
1033 Bills     -115
1034 Chiefs     -115
 
Rot Double Result Moneyline
1035 Bills/Bills     +210
1036 Bills/Tie     +3500
1037 Bills/Chiefs     +550
1038 Tie/Bills     +1700
1039 Tie/Tie     +4500
1040 Tie/Chiefs     +1400
1041 Chiefs/Bills     +650
1042 Chiefs/Tie     +3600
1043 Chiefs/Chiefs     +105
1st Half Result / End of Regulation Result. Overtime not included.
Rot Race To 10 Points Moneyline
1044 Bills     -105
1045 Chiefs     -155
1046 Neither     +9000
 
Rot Will the Game go to Overtime Moneyline
1047 Yes     +800
1048 No     -1800
 
Rot Highest Scoring Half Moneyline
1049 1st Half     -125
1050 2nd Half     -120
1051 Tie     +1800
OT Not Included
Rot Highest Scoring Quarter Moneyline
1052 1st Quarter     +500
1053 2nd Quarter     +160
1054 3rd Quarter     +425
1055 4th Quarter     +190
1056 Tie     +850
 
Rot Winning Margin Moneyline
1057 Bills to win by 1-3 pts     +800
1058 Bills to win by 4-6 pts     +1050
1059 Bills to win by 7-10 pts     +800
1060 Bills to win by 11-13 pts     +1900
1061 Bills to win by 14-17 pts     +1350
1062 Bills to win by 18-21 pts     +1800
1063 Bills to win by 22 or more pts     +900
1064 Chiefs to win by 1-3 pts     +550
1065 Chiefs to win by 4-6 pts     +800
1066 Chiefs to win by 7-10 pts     +600
1067 Chiefs to win by 11-13 pts     +1400
1068 Chiefs to win by 14-17 pts     +900
1069 Chiefs to win by 18-21 pts     +1200
1070 Chiefs to win by 22 or more pts     +500
 
Rot Total Points Scored Moneyline
1071 00-14 Points     +12000
1072 15-21 Points     +3500
1073 22-28 Points     +1500
1074 29-35 Points     +750
1075 36-42 Points     +450
1076 43-49 Points     +400
1077 50-56 Points     +375
1078 57-63 Points     +450
1079 64-70 Points     +550
1080 71-77 Points     +850
1081 78 or More Points     +650
 
Rot 1st Half Total TDs Scored Moneyline
1082 Over  3½  TDs +125
1083 Under  3½  TDs -155
 
Rot 1st Half Total FGs Scored Moneyline
1084 Over  1½  FGs Ev
1085 Under  1½  FGs -130
 
Rot Score in Last 2 min of the 1st Half Moneyline
1086 Yes     -375
1087 No     +275
 
Rot 1st Half Winning Margin Moneyline
1088 Bills to win by 1-3 pts     +950
1089 Bills to win by 4-6 pts     +1000
1090 Bills to win by 7-9 pts     +950
1091 Bills to win by 10-12 pts     +1100
1092 Bills to win by 13 or more pts     +550
1093 Chiefs to win by 1-3 pts     +850
1094 Chiefs to win by 4-6 pts     +950
1095 Chiefs to win by 7-9 pts     +750
1096 Chiefs to win by 10-12 pts     +850
1097 Chiefs to win by 13 or more pts     +280
1098 Tie     +850
 
Rot Will there be Missed Field Goal Moneyline
1100 Yes     Ev
1101 No     -130
 
Rot Will there be Missed Extra Point Moneyline
1102 Yes     +225
1103 No     -300
 
Rot Total Punts by BOTH Teams Moneyline
1104 Over  6½  Punts +110
1105 Under  6½  Punts -140
 
Rot Total Sacks by Both Teams Moneyline
1106 Over  3½  Sacks -130
1107 Under  3½  Sacks Ev
 
Rot Will there be a Safety Moneyline
1108 Yes     +800
1109 No     -1800
 
Rot Will the game be Decided by Exactly 3 Points Moneyline
1110 Yes     +500
1111 No     -800
 
Rot Will there be a Successful 2 Pt Conversion Moneyline
1112 Yes     +250
1113 No     -350
 
Rot First Turnover of The Game Will Be A Moneyline
1114 Interception     -130
1115 Fumble     Ev

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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