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What Are the Payout Odds: Cotton Bowl Game If Cincinnati Bearcats Beats Alabama Crimson Tide

Written by:
Mary Montgomery
Published on:
Dec/30/2021

The undefeated Cincinnati Bearcats are a +13.5 underdog in their Cotton Bowl game against the Alabama Crimson Tide.  Should the Bearcats somehow beat mighty Alabama, the payout is $430 on a $100 bet.

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We do have an overlay of around four points here but that is sometimes an indication that the favorite will win by well more than the spread.

Cincinnati has not had a great record as an underdog since 2018.  It's rare that they've been in this situation but the Bearcats have gone 3-5 Straight Up as an away underdog.  Compare that to their 40-0 record as a favorite.  They are, however, 5-0 Against The Spread in their last 5 games as an underdog.

The Bearcats are also 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

The Crimson Tide are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

This is Alabama's seventh semifinal appearance in the eight seasons of the four-team CFP.  But the Tide almost didn't make it here if not for Heisman Trophy winning-quarterback Bryce Young leading a late game-tying, 97-yard TD drive in the regular-season finale against Auburn that ended in an overtime win.

"It's always challenging when you come off of winning a championship for players to have the same hunger, to have a sense of urgency to prove something," said Alabama coach Nick Saban, who has six national titles the past 12 seasons. "But because we were young, I think it took this team a little longer to maybe respond on a consistent basis like we wanted them to."

Alabama is just barely making a profit for sports bettors this season at 7-6 Against The Spread.  A failure to cover here would essentially be a wash.

Cincinnati has been profitable, but not to the degree one might think.  They've failed to cover in five games this season.

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com

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