Trump Indictment Watch: Fulton County This Week? Laatest Odds

Written by:
C Costigan
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Former US President Donald Trump has been charged on four counts including Obstruction, Conspiracy to Defraud the United States.  Six unnamed co-conspirators are referenced in the indictment.  They include attorneys and a Justice Department official. They are not yet charged.  Judge District Judge Tanya S. Chutkan has been assigned to the case.

A grand jury tied to the 2020 Election Interference case returned an indictment against a defendant (or defendants) shortly after 5:10 pm ET Tuesday August 1, 2023 that had yet to be identified publicly even by initials or grand jury number as this was placed under seal. A prosecutor who handles Jan. 6 matters, Molly Gaston, submitted the indictment.  15 minutes later Trump was confirmed to have been indicted.

BetOnline had offered odds on the number of Trump indictments at Over/Under 2.5.  Should Trump be named, the bet would be graded for the Over.

Now we await and possible 4th indictment in Fulton County Georgia.  Let's get an update on that matter below.


Fulton County Georgia Update

Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis has been investigating the former U.S. president’s potential involvement in trying to overturn the 2020 election result in Georgia for nearly three years now.  The case is expected to be brought to a grand jury as soon as the coming week, quite possibly as early as Tuesday.

On Sunday, CNN reported that Willis is in possession of emails and text messages which could connect Trump’s legal team to the breaches of the Coffee County, Georgia voting system.

BetOnline continues to offer odds on a Trump plea agreement and jail time.

On Monday July 31, Fulton County superior court judge Robert McBurney denied the former President's efforts to block expected indictments in that county and to disqualify district attorney Fani Willis.

Trump is under investigation, along with his allies, for allegedly attempting to overturn Georgia’s 2020 presidential election result. 

ORDER ON MOTION TO QUASH, PRECLUDE, AND RECUSE On 20 March 2023, former President Trump filed a motion to quash the Special Purpose Grand Jury's Final Report, to preclude any State prosecuting agency from using any evidence derived from the Special Purpose Grand Jury’s work, and to disqualify the Fulton County District Attorney’s Office from further investigation into/prosecution of alleged interference with the 2020 general election in Georgia. On 28 April 2023, Cathleen Latham, one of the “alternate” presidential electors advanced by Georgia's Republican Party in the aftermath of the 2020 general election, filed a motion joining Trump's motion. On 15 May 2023, the District Attorney responded to the two motions and certain media intervenors did the same -- although the intervenors’ response was limited to opposing Trump and Latham’s efforts to suppress the Final Report. Finally, on 19 May 2023, a “bipartisan” collection of former federal and state prosecutors submitted an amicus brief opposing all relief sought by Trump and Latham.? At that point, the record was complete, as the Court declined Trump's request to file a reply brief, finding the 500+ pages of pleadings ample and sufficient to resolve the issues presented.

Manhattan Indictment

(March 31, 2023)A Manhattan grand jury decided to indict former US President Donald Trump on March 31.  Those odds were -500 but BetOnline pulled them.

The NYC began ramping up security again Thursday afternoon ahead of the action.

It was not immediately clear how this indictment will affect the Presidential race.

This marks the first time in American history that a current or former president will face criminal charges.

The Manhattan district attorney’s office has been investigating the former president in connection with his alleged role in a hush money payment scheme involving adult film star Stormy Daniels.

BetOnline pulled its indictment odds after the former president was told earlier this month he could appear before a Manhattan grand jury this week if he wished to testify.  This is typically an indication that the investigation is in its final stages.  New York state law requires that the defendant in a matter be provided an opportunity to appear to testify when charges are likely forthcoming.

BetOnline posted odds on the Over/Under number of Trump arrests at 2.5 with the Under still a favorite as of Thursday March 30.

Trump himself said he anticipated being arrested on Tuesday March 21.  That never happened. He was calling for his supporters to protest.

January 6 Committee Recommendations

The January 6 committee reviewing a January 2021 attack of the U.S. Capitol building, voted to urge the Justice Department to pursue at least three criminal charges against former U.S. President Donald Trump.

These charges include: Obstructing an official proceeding, conspiracy to defraud the government and inciting or assisting an insurrection.

Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., said in part during the meeting overheard by NBC News that he believed referrals were “warranted.”

It should be noted that Trump's indictment odds prior to 2022 were sitting around Even.

December 2022: Charges Against Trump's Company

Two subsidiaries of the Trump Organization were convicted of multiple crimes in the state of New York earlier this month.

Charges included tax fraud, falsifying business records and conspiracy.  Jurors in New York City delivered the verdict and found the Trump Organization guilty on all charges.

The former President and the company's owner, Donald Trump, was not named as a defendant in the case but his indictment odds gained renewed notice at BetOnline by Tuesday evening.  Trump was now priced at -140 to be indicted before the 2024 general election.

One of the subsidiaries charged in the criminal case, the Trump Corporation, was convicted of nine counts. The other defendant, the Trump Payroll Corporation, was convicted of the remaining seven counts.

The case specifically relates to related to compensation paid in the form of perks that included free apartments and luxury cars to then-chief financial officer Allen Weisselberg and other executives, all as an alleged means to avoid paying taxes.

The Trump Organization faces fines of up to $1.6 million at sentencing.

December 2022: Justice Dept. Subpoenas Ariz., Mich., Wis.

Reports also surfaced Tuesday that special counsel Jack Smith has sent grand-jury subpoenas to local officials in Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin.  These were three states in the 2020 general election that ensured Democrat candidate Joe Biden would go on to become President.

The subpoenas seek any and all communications with Trump, his campaign and a long list of aides and allies.

“I’m happy to participate in this process,” said George Christenson, the Milwaukee clerk, who confirmed the subpoena he had received.  Christenson provided the Washington Post with a copy.

Dane County Clerk Scott McDonell confirmed receiving a similar subpoena.

“I am not aware of any significant communications that have not already been made public,” said McDonell, whose county encompasses Madison, the state capital.

July 2022: 58% Said Trump Should Be Charged in Capitol Riot

A majority of Americans said back in June 2022 Donald Trump should be criminally charged for his role in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, a new poll reveals.  His odds of being indicted were still quite long at the time with a payout potential of $35 for every $10 bet, but that shifted a month later at shifted to a payout potential of $18.50 for every $10 bet, quite possibly on news that the Department of Justice was closing in.

The Ipsos/ABC News poll found that 58% of respondents said Trump should be criminally charged.  Poll respondents stated that Trump "bears a good or great amount of responsibility for the events of Jan 6."  This is up from 52% back in April.

And one of the biggest surprises comes with the Republican respondents.  Nearly 20 percent of those identifying as Republicans said Trump should be charged.  That's up around 10 percent from a few months ago. 91 percent of Democrats believe he should be charged.

A significant number of self-described Independents believe Trump bears responsibility as well at 62%.

In House Committee hearings taking place over the summer, details emerged regarding the pressure placed on Vice President Mike Pence to obstruct the electoral count on January 6.  Some in the crowd that day chanted "Hang Mike Pence".

Trump in Shackles?

A one-time contributor to the website, Wayne Allen Root, asked Trump on his syndicated radio program, The Wayne Allyn Root Show if he anticipates being taken out of his Mar-a-Lago home ‘in shackles’.

Trump replied: “What’s going on has never been seen in this country before .. It is so serious .. but I’m at the forefront.”

Months prior to Trump announcing another run for President in 2024, he was the favorite at +250 odds.  Since that time, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis assumed the favorite position.

- Chris Costigan,

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