Super Bowl LIV Betting – San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

The Kansas City Chiefs have deep ties to the Super Bowl. Not because they’ve been a regular participant, which they haven’t been, rather for other reasons. Late owner Lamar Hunt was credited with naming the Big Game years after the first one was actually played. Former coach Hank Stram immortalized his and his team’s involvement by wearing a microphone in the Chiefs’ win over Minnesota in Super Bowl IV. Fifty years later the Chiefs are returning to the Super Bowl to take on the San Francisco 49ers as a 1-point favorite on the current NFL betting line.  BE SURE TO CLAIM YOUR WELCOME BONUS HERE - MAXIMUM $1500

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San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Date and Time: Sunday, February 2, 2020, 6:30 p.m. ET

Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Opening Super Bowl LIV Odds: Kansas City -1, O/U 51

49ers vs. Chiefs TV Coverage: FOX

Odds Analysis

If there is going to be significant movement on the line it’ll happen closer to kickoff. That’s just the way it goes in this game with both sharps and squares holding out for the slightest edge. Kansas City hit the board -1 and the number has bounced around, going as high as -2 before settling back at the opening line. It’s been a different story with the total, which opened at 51. Plenty of early action on the over forced a spike to its current 54. The Niners played as an underdog five times this season going 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS. The only loss was 20-17 in Baltimore on Dec. 1 when they were spotted 5.5-points. Enormous comebacks allowed the Chiefs to cover in both their playoff games moving to 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight overall.


San Francisco 49ers

Despite having one of the highest paid quarterbacks in the NFL, the Niners have used a throwback approach to amass 15 victories and reach their first Super Bowl since the 2012 season. A yard-churning ground game and an aggressive defense allowed San Fran to go from four wins in 2018 to a NFC-best 13 this season. And Kyle Shanahan didn’t deviate from the plan once the team got into the postseason, ending a five-year drought.

Led by the three-headed monster of Raheem Mostert, Matt Brieda and Tevin Coleman, the Niners finished second during the regular season averaging 144.1 rush yards per game. The trio combined for 1,939 yards with all getting at least 544. Showing off their diversity in the playoffs, Coleman ran for 105 of the team’s 186 yards against Minnesota. With Coleman sustaining an injury against Green Bay in the NFC Championship, the Niners turned to Mostert, who had a record-setting game with 220 yards and four touchdowns.

Through their two playoff tilts the Niners are averaging 235.5 yards and scored six times on the ground. Jimmy Garoppolo wasn’t needed against the Packers throwing the ball just eight times. He’ll need to be ready with this game having the potential to see points scored. The defense can make life scary for opposing quarterbacks. The Niners sacked Kirk Cousins six times and got to Aaron Rodgers thrice. Mahomes is more mobile than those two and will offer challenges, but nothing guys like Nick Bosa haven’t seen before since they played Russell Wilson twice.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs would like to get off to a better start in this game. They overcame a 24-0 second quarter deficit to beat Houston in the divisional game, and fell behind the Titans 10-0 early in the AFC title contest. Both times Kansas City responded behind its explosive offense. Patrick Mahomes was on fire in the second quarter against the Texans wiping out that big deficit in just over nine minutes with four touchdown passes. By halftime the Chiefs were on top and they kept their foot on the gas scoring 41 unanswered.

Mahomes worked his magic against the Titans. Two touchdowns passes and a nifty 27-yard TD scamper aided the Chiefs comeback. In two playoff games Mahomes has completed 65.7 percent of his passes for 615 yards with eight touchdowns and zero picks. The Niners will try to disrupt the pass game with intense pressure, but that hasn’t bothered the reigning MVP. The ability of Mahomes to avoid the rush led to him getting sacked just 17 times during the regular season. It’s happened just twice in 72 pass plays this postseason.

Both teams have an abundance of playmakers, but it’s the Chiefs who have gotten more from theirs. And they’ll need production from Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill in the passing game, and from Damien Williams on the ground. Mahomes led the team in rushing in both playoff games, but he’s not Lamar Jackson. The numbers haven’t looked good, but the Chiefs’ defense has played well this postseason. It carried over from the final six regular season games when KC allowed just 95 rushing yards and 11.5 points per game.

Bet 49ers vs. Chiefs at BookMaker.eu

Hopefully this Super Bowl turns out better than last year’s snooze-fest. It has all the makings of being a good one with KC’s offense facing the Niners’ defense. It will come down to which team owns the other side. Garoppolo has been efficient and if he’s called on to win a game can he deliver? Mahomes will rattle SF and his playmakers will make plays. I can’t see the Niners slowing down KC and they won’t have enough to catch up.

Super Bowl LIV Score Prediction: Kansas City 29, San Francisco 24

Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.

- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com

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