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State of the Union Prop Bets - 2020

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Feb/03/2020

From the Super Bowl to the State of the Union, you can bet on just about anything these days.


*$25 minimum bets
*Accessible from most US states (prohibited in NJ)
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People can watch and wager on prop bets for President Trump's annual address on Tuesday. Some of the prop topics include approval rating, non-facts, tweets, viewers, countries and wardrobe (will AOC wear a cape again?). Odds for the "designated survivor" are also on the betting board.

In total, SportsBetting.ag has set odds for more than a dozen SOTU props. You can find all of them below and in real-time here: https://www.sportsbetting.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/politics-props

Additionally, the site has updated odds to win the Presidential Election, the Democratic nominee and the Iowa Caucus. It has also added odds for the New Hampshire Primary below.

The Republican nominee odds are also available but not listed here. In case you were wondering, President Trump is a 1/15 favorite to be the nominee while any other candidate has 8/1 odds.

State of the Union Prop Bets

Who will President Trump mention first in opening remarks?
Vice President (+200)
Speaker of the House (+300)
Fellow Americans (+300)
Members of Congress (+500)
First Lady (+600)
Senate Majority Leader (+800)

Who will be the designated survivor?
Betsy DeVos (+450)
Wilbur Ross (+550)
Alex Azar (+600)
Ben Carson (+700)
Dan Brouillette (+800)
Robert Wilkie (+800)
Chad Wolf (+1000)
Eugene Scalia (+1000
David Bernhardt (+1200))
Chuck Grassley (+1200)
Sonny Perdue (+1500)
William Barr (+1500)
Steven Mnuchin (+1500)
Mark Esper (+1800)
Mike Pompeo (+2000)
Nancy Pelosi (+2500)
Mike Pence (+2500)

What will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wear during address?
Pantsuit (-150)
Dress (+200)
Cape (+500)
T-Shirt (+1000)
Pajamas (+2000)
Hooded Sweatshirt (+3000)
Superhero Costume (+5000)

First country mentioned by President Trump
China (-200)
Iran (+250)
Mexico (+700)
North Korea (+700)
Venezuela (+800)
Iraq (+1000)
Saudi Arabia (+1000)

Will President Trump refer to Pelosi as Nervous Nancy or Crazy Nancy?
Yes (+550)
No (-1000)

How much will President Trump approval rating increase on 2/5/20 (according to FiveThirtyEight.com)
More than 0.3 percent
Less than 0.3 percent

Total non-facts said by President Trump (non-fact claims according to WashingtonPost.com Fact Checker blog)
Over 27.5
Under 27.5

Total tweets by President Trump on 2/4/20
Over 5.5
Under 5.5

Will President Trump mention the Super Bowl?
Yes (+300)
No (-500)

Will "impeach" be said by President Trump?
Yes (+150)
No (-200)

Will "coronavirus" be said by President Trump?
Yes (-500)
No (+300)

Will "Putin" be said by President Trump?
Yes (+500)
No (-1000)

Will "Kim Jong-Un" be said by President Trump?
Yes (-120)
No (-120)

How many times will "economy" be said by President Trump?
Over 4.5
Under 4.5

How many times will "Democrat" be said by President Trump?
Over 3.5
Under 3.5

How many times will "Iran" be said by President Trump?
Over 4.5
Under 4.5

How many times will "China" be said by President Trump?
Over 6.5
Under 6.5

Length of State of the Union address
Over 82.5 minutes
Under 82.5 minutes

Total viewers
Over 47 million
Under 47 million

Democratic Nominee     Standard Odds     Fractional Odds
Bernie Sanders     +150     3/2
Joe Biden     +200     2/1
Michael Bloomberg     +600     6/1
Elizabeth Warren     +1000     10/1
Pete Buttigieg     +1000     10/1
Andrew Yang     +1400     14/1
Hillary Clinton     +2000     20/1
Amy Klobuchar     +5000     50/1
Tom Steyer     +6600     66/1
Deval Patrick     +8000     80/1
Michelle Obama     +8000     80/1
Tulsi Gabbard     +8000     80/1

    
    
Presidential Election     
    
Donald Trump           -125     4/5
Bernie Sanders         +350     7/2
Joe Biden              +600     6/1
Michael Bloomberg      +1000     10/1
Elizabeth Warren       +2000     20/1
Andrew Yang            +2500     25/1
Pete Buttigieg         +2500     25/1
Hillary Clinton        +5000     50/1
Amy Klobuchar          +8000     80/1
Mike Pence             +10000     100/1
Tom Steyer             +10000     100/1
Tulsi Gabbard         +10000     100/1
Michelle Obama         +12500     125/1
Deval Patrick          +15000     150/1

    
    
Iowa Caucus     
    
Bernie Sanders        -250     2/5
Joe Biden             +300     3/1
Pete Buttigieg        +1000     10/1
Elizabeth Warren      +1000     10/1
Andrew Yang           +2200     22/1
Amy Klobuchar         +3300     33/1
Tom Steyer            +10000     100/1
Tulsi Gabbard         +10000     100/1

    
    
New Hampshire Primary     
    
Bernie Sanders        -600     1/6
Joe Biden             +500     5/1
Pete Buttigieg        +1000     10/1
Elizabeth Warren      +1200     12/1
Andrew Yang           1800     18/1
Amy Klobuchar         +4000     40/1
Tom Steyer            +5000     50/1
Tulsi Gabbard         +10000     100/1

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