SNF Prop Betting – Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

There’s never a shortage of prop bet options when the Kansas City Chiefs play. They lead the NFL in scoring and have the top candidate for MVP in Patrick Mahomes, who has thrown a league-best 45 touchdown passes.


As good as they’ve been all season, the Chiefs find themselves tied atop the AFC standings with division rival Los Angeles and need to get the offense going after scoring fewer than 30 points in each of their last two games. It won’t be easy against the Seattle Seahawks and the 12th man when the teams collide on Sunday night.

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks

Date and Time: Sunday, December 23, 2018, 8:20 p.m. ET

Location: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA

NFL Odds: Chiefs -2.5, O/U 53.5

Chiefs at Seahawks TV Coverage: NBC

The Chiefs have been all about offense this season, leading the AFC with a plus-119 scoring differential. And that’s pretty impressive when the defense ranks 28th in points allowed at 27.1 per game. KC leads the NFL in total offense with over 427 yards per game, and tops the circuit with 35.6 points per outing. However, that number tumbled over the past two games when the Chiefs failed to reach the 30-point mark.

The dip in production coincided with the release of Kareem Hunt, who was cut loose three games ago. Spencer Ware is a capable backup, but he was injured and missed the last game when the Chiefs fell to the Chargers and managed just 60 yards on the ground. Damien Williams, who had just 16 carries prior to the Chargers game, was the lead back and played well.

Williams carried the ball 10 times for 49 yards with a pair of touchdowns and added six receptions for an additional 74 yards. Ware could return this week, but Williams earned his playing time and should have another productive game, making him a candidate to go over his yards from scrimmage total on a prop bet at

Mahomes is the offense and the Chiefs need him to rebound after what was a subpar effort by his standards. He threw for a season-low 243 yards against the Bolts and his yards per attempt were almost two yards fewer than his season average. He was on target finding the end zone, however. Mahomes tossed two scoring passes and has at least that many in his last nine games and 12 games overall. He’s thrown 11 more scoring passes than Andrew Luck and could go without one in the next two games and still lead the league.

However, that’s not going to happen. Win a prop bet at by going with Mahomes to throw a scoring pass in the first quarter. His two last week came in the opening frame and the Chiefs have outscored their opponents by 81 points in the first 15 minutes.

Seattle has a good chance of improving its league-leading rushing total against KC’s 31st-ranked defense. The Seahawks like to pound the ball and they use a rotation of backs to get the job done. They average nearly 155 yards a game led by Chris Carson, who amassed a season-high 119 yards and a touchdown on the ground last week against the Niners. Mike Davis takes over on occasion and has 439 yards. Both players average 4.5 yards per carry and with Russell Wilson scrambling for extra yards, the Seahawks are likely to go over their projected total.

The Seahawks took meticulous notes after watching the Chargers become the first team to hold the Chiefs to less than 300 yards of offense. The Bolts denied the big play and pressured Mahomes, limiting him through the air. And the ground game was compromised with the absence of Ware. Seattle has cracks in its pass defense and Tyreek Hill won’t be held in check again. I like Mahomes to throw for a bunch of yards and Hill to explode with a few chunk plays to get the offense back to where it needs to be.

Kansas City’s defense will be aided by the full-time return of Eric Berry to the secondary. Playing his first game of the season, Berry was limited to first half action last week and helped hold the Chargers to seven points. He sat the second half and the Bolts scored 22, including the game-winning 2-point conversion. We’ll never know if things would have turned out differently had Berry been on the field, but he will be out there this week. Kendall Fuller is also expected to play after having a procedure on his wrist last week, further strengthening the defensive secondary to thwart any attempt at Russell Wilson having a big game through the air.

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