SNF Prop Betting – Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
They say revenge is a great motivator, and Aaron Rodgers has plenty of motivation for the Week 12 Sunday Night Football matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings.
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You might recall during Week 6 last season when Rodgers was taken down violently by Anthony Barr with the result being a broken collarbone that essentially ended the season for both the player and the team. The clubs met in the second game of the season, but this will be the first time Rodgers is back in Minneapolis since that day 13 months ago.
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Date and Time: Sunday, November 25, 2018, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
NFL Odds: Vikings -3, O/U 48
Packers at Vikings Coverage: NBC
Now that the Turkey day festivities are over, the Packers and Vikings have more work to do following a Bears win over the Lions. It’s not the situation either side expected to be in with two high-priced quarterbacks at the helm. But here they are, fighting for their playoff lives with a loss on Sunday putting one of them into hole it may not be able to climb out of.
The play of the QBs will be a key factor in determining a winner on Sunday night. Rodgers is having a strong season, but it’s not quite up to what he’s done in the past. He has 19 touchdown passes with just one interception, is averaging 307.3 passing yards per game and is completing nearly 62 percent of his passes, yet the Packers are a game under .500. They haven’t been able to close out games and it’s a frustrating feeling.
Green Bay has lost three of its last four games and the “what if” factor can be applied to every one of the defeats. They had a lead on the Rams and fumbled the ball away on a kickoff, denying Rodgers a chance for a game-winning drive. Another turnover while driving for the potential go-ahead score in New England was a back-breaker. And they failed to hold a late-lead in Seattle last week.
Injuries to Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison have left Rodgers with a pair of rookie receivers to throw to. But he still has Davante Adams and the two have hooked up 72 times for 953 yards and nine touchdowns this year. Adams had 10 catches last week in Seattle for 166 yards and all four of his 100-yard receiving games have come in the last six. Rodgers will continue to target Adams and you can expect some big numbers in the passing game. Going over the receptions and receiving yards total for Adams on a prop bet at BookMaker.eu is a smart play.
Aaron Jones is also an important piece for Green Bay’s offense to try and slow down Minnesota’s pass rush. The Vikings have 32 sacks on the season with Danielle Hunter second in the NFL with 11.5. Jones is a sneaky back who ran for 145 yards a few weeks ago against Miami and leads the league with an average of 6.4 yards per carry. He’s been utilized more in the passing game lately with 12 receptions in the past four games. Look for a prop on his total yards and consider placing a wager on the over.
The Vikings didn’t pay Kirk Cousins all kinds of money to contend for a playoff spot. They brought him in as the missing piece for a team that was a game short of reaching the Super Bowl last season. Cousins has built a rapport with Adam Thielen in the passing game, and he’ll have to be good against the Packers since the running game has been non-existent. The Vikings have quality backs in Dalvin Cook and Latavius Murray, but they haven’t been able to consistently run the football, putting more pressure on Cousins and the passing game to provide the offense.
And when it doesn’t work, the Vikings struggle like they did last week against the Bears. Cook had just 12 yards in nine carries and Murray totaled five yards in four attempts and the team totaled 22 yards and 1.6 average. Those numbers are unacceptable in the NFL.
Cousins had his best game of the season when these teams met earlier in the year, throwing for 425 yards and four touchdowns while completing 73 percent of his passes. The kicking game let the Vikes down that day with Daniel Carlson missing three field goals, including two in overtime. Thielen enters the game one catch behind league-leader Michael Thomas with one fewer game played. And the Packers have been susceptible to the pass, so this is a matchup that favors the home team. Cousins and Thielen will hook up often and prop bet on the over for their totals should be something to consider.
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