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Rafael Jódar vs. Brandon Nakashima is a particularly interesting match geographically because it combines a 19-year-old Spanish breakout star with an established American player, and it's a Masters 1000 semifinal in Montreal, not an early-round match. This is their first career meeting. All betting markets and live in-play betting can be found here.
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Rafael Jodar v Brandon Nakashima Betting Preview
Jódar is a Spanish professional tennis player. He has a career-high ATP singles ranking of world No. 15 achieved on 3 August 2026 and a doubles ranking of No. 344 achieved on 2 March 2026. He is currently the No. 2 Spanish player in men's singles.
He comes into this match as the -240 favorite to win.
Jodar won 7-6 (5), 6-3 over Arthur Fils in the quarterfinals of Montreal on Tuesday.
Jodar got the better of the No. 24-ranked Frenchman in straight sets for the second tournament in a row as he advanced into the semifinals after one hour and 42 minutes on court. The rapidly-rising Spaniard is now projected to rise to a new career-high ranking of No. 11 in the world next week.
Nakashima is an American professional tennis player. He has a career-high ATP singles ranking of world No. 29, achieved on 5 May 2025 and a best doubles ranking of No. 193, reached on 17 February 2025. He is currently the No. 6 American singles player.
He pays close to $200 for every $100 bet with a win here.
Nakashima won 6-2, 6-3 over Luciano Darderi in the quarterfinals of Montreal on Tuesday.
Coming off a few tough three-setters en route to the quarters, Nakashima had a much easier time with the No. 22-ranked Italian as he cruised through in straight sets to reach the semifinals after one hour and 18 minutes on court. It marks the first Masters 1000 semifinal for the 25-year-old American, who is projected to rise to a new career-high ranking of No. 25 in the world.
World Betting Interest (NEW GAMBLING911 FEATURE)
1 United States - Nakashima + enormous legal betting market
2 Spain - Jódar's breakthrough has become a major Spanish tennis story
3 Canada - Tournament is being played in Montreal
4 United Kingdom - One of the world's strongest tennis-betting markets
5 France Major tennis audience + proximity to Montreal/Francophone interest
6 Italy - Huge current interest in men's tennis
7 Germany - Large established tennis and wagering market
8 Australia - Exceptionally strong tennis culture and betting participation
World Betting Interest (Honorable Mentions)
1 Ireland - Excellent per-capita betting market.
2 Denmark - Strong regulated betting participation and tennis following
3 Sweden - Long tennis tradition + mature gambling market
4 Norway - Strong sports consumption and high-value audience
5 Mexico
6 Argentina
7 Brazil - Large sportsbook market and strong tennis audience
8. Colombia
Available Betting Markets
Alternative Total Games 3 20.5
Alternative Total Games 6 25.5
Alternative Total Games 5 19.5
Alternative Total Games 1 21.5
Alternative Total Games 4 24.5
Alternative Total Games 2 23.5
Set Betting
Rafael Jodar Aces
Brandon Nakashima Aces
Set 1 Winner
Set 2 Winner
Rafael Jodar to win at least one set
Brandon Nakashima to win at least one set
Game Handicap -3.5
Correct Score 1st Set
1st Set Score after 4 games
1st Set Score after 2 games
1st Set Score after 6 games
Correct Score 2nd Set
Set 1 Aces
Set 2 Aces
Total Match Games 22.5
Total Aces in the Match
Total Aces 10.5
Total Rafael Jodar Aces 3.5
Total Brandon Nakashima Aces 7.5
Set 1 Game Handicap -1.5
Total Sets 2.5
Rafael Jodar Total Double Faults 2.5
Brandon Nakashima Total Double Faults 1.5
Alternative Game Spread
Alternative Game Spread
Alternative Game Spread
Alternative Game Spread
Alternative Game Spread
Alternative Game Spread
Rafael Jodar Score of First Service Game
Brandon Nakashima Score of First Service Game
Set Handicap -1.5
Rafael Jodar Total Games 12.5
Brandon Nakashima Total Games 11.5
- Alistair Prescott, Gambling911.com
