Political Betting - US Presidential Odds: Trump Odds See Shift Following SOTU Address
This blog focuses on US Presidental betting odds and news.
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Trump Becomes Bigger Favorite to Win Following SOTU Address
(February 5, 2020) - Dave Mason of BetOnline advised Wednesday morning that Donald Trump's re-election chances have shifted from -130 to -145 following his State of the Union address the night prior.
Trump is also expected to be acquitted in the Senate following an impeachment hearing.
Despite South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg enjoying a strong finish in Iowa (potentially winning the state), his payout to become the next US President would be $140 for every $10 bet.
ODDS MOVEMENT ALERT
— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) February 5, 2020
Off his #SOTU last night and likely #Impeachment acquittal, @realDonaldTrump odds to win the 2020 Presidential Election go from -130 to -145.
Thoughts?
Interesting...@realDonaldTrump odds to win the 2020 Election:
— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) December 19, 2019
Before yesterday's impeachment:
+100
After yesterday's impeachment:
-110
In other words, despite the House impeachment, Trump is even more of a favorite to repeat in 2020.
Is this all just a big nothing burger?
Marianne Williamson Suspends Presidential Campaign at 500-1 Odds
(January 10, 2030) - All US Presidential Betting Odds Available at BetOnline Here
Shux...
— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) January 10, 2020
Marianne Williamson suspending her Presidential campaign.
Odds closed at 500-1.
Woulda been a massive score for Team @betonline_ag. Oh well.
I guess the Prime Minister of New Zealand doesn't have to sit by her phone election night.
odds> https://t.co/R7rTiPeIc3
Andrew Yang Raises Most Money Yet
(January 4, 2030) - Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang raised more than $16.5 million in the last three months of 2019, surpassing his third quarter haul by $6.5 million, his campaign announced Thursday.
While Yang's new record will allow him to "devote resources toward TV and digital ads, on-the-ground staff, and campaign infrastructure," his latest numbers are significantly lower than those from Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, one of the race's leading candidates who raised more than $34.5 million during the final three months of 2019, and Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, who brought in $24.7 million.
Source: CNN
Yang is a popular candidate among online gambling and poker enthusiasts as he has vowed to legalize all of it.
He is listed at 10-1 odds to win the Democratic nomination.
Trump to be Removed From Office Pays $550 on a $100 Bet
(December 17, 2019) - Click the Twitter embed to view the lively conversation
#ImpeachmentEve odds update!
— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) December 18, 2019
Will President Trump leave office due to Impeachment?
Yes +550
No -1000
Would love to hear your thoughts. Civil banter only of course (yea right). Let it rip.
Trump Odds Improve Despite Articles of Impeachment Approval
The Judiciary Committee Democrats APPROVE two articles of impeachment against Donald Trump in just SEVEN minutes setting up historic vote of the full House on Wednesday - and a Senate trial in January.
(December 13, 2019) -
Interesting...
— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) December 13, 2019
Despite the #ImpeachmentHearings @realDonaldTrump is now the +100 favorite to repeat in 2020.
Just a couple of days ago he was +125
Trump Impeachment Odds Likely to Increase With Shock Sondland Testimony
(November 20, 2019) - Ambassador Gordon Sondland was expected to testify that US President Donald Trump, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and former national security adviser John Bolton were each involved in a "quid quo pro" linking a White House visit for Ukraine's president to investigations into Trump's political opponents.
From NBC News:
Under fire from all sides after multiple witnesses contradicted his earlier deposition, Sondland blames everyone but himself for the pressure campaign on Ukraine now driving impeachment proceedings against Trump. He plans to show up for his televised hearing with reams of new text messages and emails he said prove the highest levels of the White House and the State Department were in on it.
"They knew what we were doing and why," Sondland plans to tell the House Intelligence Committee, according to his opening statement obtained by NBC News. "Everyone was in the loop. It was no secret."
Impeachment odds were slightly better than EVEN ahead of Wednesday's testimony.
Mayor Pete Now Up Bigly in Iowa
(November 18, 2019) - South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg has climbed to first place in a new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of likely Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa.
The young Mayor has risen 16 percentage points since September to gain a quarter of the overall support.
Meanwhile, Joe Biden was polling second best at 16% support, and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts were each polling at 15%.
Mayor Pete Surges in Iowa, Leads Poll
(November 13, 2019) - Pete Buttigieg is surging in Iowa.
The South Bend, Indiana mayor is atop the crowded Democratic presidential field in a new poll by Monmouth University, which has Buttigieg attracting support of 22% of Iowa caucus-goers, a stunning 14-percentage point increase since Monmouth's August poll and the first survey of any kind that has Buttigieg in the lead.
Former Vice President Joe Biden comes in second with 19% of the vote, followed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts with 18% and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont with 13%. The rest of the field was in the single digits, in support.
He continues to come in at excellent value to win the next Democratic nomination at BetOnline.
U.S. Politics
Democratic Nominee for the 2020 Election
2254 Elizabeth Warren +200
2253 Joe Biden +350
2251 Bernie Sanders +600
2275 Pete Buttigieg +600
2274 Andrew Yang +1000
2267 Michael Bloomberg +1200
2264 Hillary Clinton +1400
2271 Tulsi Gabbard +2000
2252 Kamala Harris +3300
2261 Amy Klobuchar +5000
2255 Cory Booker +5000
2265 Tom Steyer +5000
Mayor Pete Draws Biggest Crowd Ever in NH?
(November 9, 2019) - South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg (now at 6-1 odds to win the Democratic nomination for US President) draw a massive crowd in New Hampshire this weekend.
Final Crowd Count: 1,307 per Jeff Libbey, the Assistant Fire Chief for the Lebanon Fire Department.
— Kevin Donohoe (@kevinsidonohoe) November 9, 2019
This is our largest event ever in the state of New Hampshire. #nhpolitics https://t.co/8zu66LQIYx
Meanwhile, the front runner, Elizabeth Warren, spoke before a sparse crown in South Carolina.
ORANGEBURG — Elizabeth Warren takes the stage at an Environmental Justice forum in South Carolina before a sparse audience. Tom Steyer spoke before her; numerous rivals skipped it. pic.twitter.com/CJnoCuNheF
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) November 9, 2019
Bloomberg Expected to Enter Race: Opens at 6-1 Odds
(November 8, 2019) - Michael Bloomberg hasn't officially announced his candidacy for the 2020 Presidential race, but he's already caught the eyes of people in Vegas. Read More Here
Latest Impeachment Odds
(October 29, 2019) -
An Army officer at the National Security Council says he raised concerns twice over the Trump administration's effort to have Ukraine investigate Democrats.
Vindman was testifying Tuesday before House investigators in the impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump's actions.
In prepared testimony, Vindman says he first reported his concerns after a July 10 meeting in which a U.S. ambassador, Gordon Sondland, stressed the importance of having Ukraine investigate the 2016 election as well as a company linked to the family of 2020 Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden.
Vindman says he and others listened in the Situation Room as Trump spoke with Ukraine's president on July 25 and pushed for investigations. In his prepared testimony, Vindman says he reported his concerns to the NSC's lead counsel.
His impeachment odds were now at 1/3 at Paddy Power. No pays 2/1 odds.
From TheHill.com:
House Republican Conference Chairwoman Liz Cheney (Wyo.) condemned attacks on Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, a witness called to testify as part of the impeachment inquiry, blasting those who have questioned his patriotism on Tuesday.
Cheney, the No. 3 Republican in the lower chamber, did not spell out who she was criticizing for attacks on Vindman, but her remarks followed a critical tweet by President Trump.
Cheney began by criticizing House Democrats for their handling of impeachment before moving to a defense of Vindman.
“It really is shameful what the Democrats have been doing in terms of attempting to try to impeach a sitting president in the basement of the Capitol," Cheney said at a press conference. "Now, I also want to say a word about something else that's been going on over the course of the last several hours and last night, which I think is also shameful.
“And that is questioning the patriotism, questioning the dedication to country of people like Mr. Vindman, Lt. Col. Vindman who will be coming today, and others who have testified. I think that we need to show that we are better than that as a nation.”
- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com
