PGA Tour Picks – TOUR Championship Odds

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

The tumultuous PGA Tour season comes to end this week at the TOUR Championship with the top 30 golfers in the FedExCup standings fighting it out for the $15 million first-place prize. There is one hitch, however. Thanks to racking up the most points over the course of the season, Dustin Johnson gets a head start over the field. DJ takes a 2-shot lead over second-place Jon Rahm before the field even hits the first tee box for Friday’s first round at iconic East Lake Golf Club.  Bookmaker.eu offers a generous welcome bonus (max bonus $1600)

*Up to $1600 welcome bonus
*Payouts in just a few hours with certain funding methods
*Highest betting limits on the Web
*Accessible from most US states (prohibited in NJ)
*Best in-play betting all NBA, NHL Playoffs games
*In business since 1986

Taking the handicap into effect, it isn’t surprising to see Johnson as the betting favorite. This is the second season the format has been used with Rory McIlroy charging to the title last season making up five shots. PGA Championship winner Collin Morikawa slots into the fifth position this year looking to make it two in a row for the No. 5 golfer. The staggered leaderboard start has players ranked 26-30 at even-par, 10-shots off the pace. That’s a lot of ground to make up. For more traditional bettors there’s a market for the straight up 72-hole winner. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of updated odds and matchups when you’re ready to place a wager. 

TOUR Championship 

Dates: Friday, September 4 – Monday, September 7, 2020 

Location: East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, GA 

Opening PGA Tour Odds: Jon Rahm +775 

TOUR Championship TV Coverage: Golf Channel, NBC 

Odds Analysis 

Johnson would be among the favorites even he wasn’t given a head start on the field. Stake the OWGR No. 1 a 2-shot advantage and it’s a no-brainer. The odds aren’t favorable at just +195 and we saw Justin Thomas flop from the top-spot last year, so nothing is guaranteed. But DJ has been beaten by only two golfers in his last three starts and he wasn’t even among the top 100 in the standings when the season resumed. I guess you could say he’s on a roll. 

If you want to talk about momentum let’s mention Rahm. That putt last week for victory over DJ in a playoff is one that will be talked about for a long time. And the Spaniard has picked up the pace after a putrid opening to the restart. Rahm has a pair of victories in his last five starts along with a T6 and T13. He’s won on tough courses Muirfield Village and Olympia Fields and gets another this week.  

We’ve seen this staggered scoring system just once, that being at this joint last year. In that one McIlroy emerged from the No. 5 position to lead the field shooting 13-under, combined with his -5 starting number he ended -18, four-shots better than Xander Schauffele. The precedent has been set for Morikawa, who enters with odds of +2385. The only Major winner of the season could hold value if he’s able to snap out of his Harding Park hangover. Morikawa missed the cut at The Northern Trust in his first post-PGA Championship start before banging out a top-20 at the BMW. 

East Lake isn’t the ideal course for making up strokes, which is why players at a bigger shot disadvantage have larger odds. It stretches to 7,346 yards at par 70 with narrow fairways putting an emphasis on accuracy. Hit the fairways with a strong short game and you’ll be just fine. Over the last 12 editions winning scores ranged between -7 and -13. 

Odds to Win TOUR Championship at BookMaker.eu 

Dustin Johnson +195 

Jon Rahm +205 

Justin Thomas +652 

Webb Simpson +1185 

Collin Morikawa +2385 

Rory McIlroy +2442 

Bryson DeChambeau +2902 

Xander Schauffele +3424 

Daniel Berger +3550 

Hideki Matsuyama +4150 

Harris English +7550 

We still don’t know a lot about the staggered leaderboard format since it’s been used just the one time. The top two players in the field battled it out last week showing each other up with their putting ability before Rahm’s 66-foot dagger putt allowed him to escape with the playoff win. That wouldn’t have been enough under this week’s format since he’s starting two shots back of DJ. 

It’s hard not to like Johnson after his display the last month. He’s the hottest player coming in with a T2 at the PGA Championship followed by a win at The Northern Trust and last week’s playoff setback. He’s the best in the playoffs in strokes gained: tee to green and I doubt he’ll feel any pressure being the top seed. 

There are great golfers with lofty odds who have the potential to break out at any time. Morikawa is one of them in a spot that produced last year’s winner. Bryson DeChambeau can take advantage of East Lake with his booming drives and he proved last year he can master the layout.  

Starting as the eighth-seed last year, Xander Schauffele made up enough strokes to finish as runner-up. He’s been a consistent player all year with 15 top-25 finishes in 17 starts. His numbers at East Lake are impressive as well scoring par or better in all 12 rounds.  

TOUR Championship Pick: Dustin Johnson 

Top -5 Lock: Collin Morikawa 

Top-10 Lock: Xander Schauffele 

Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.

- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com

Sports News

Ibrahimovic Stands by LeBron James Comments, Doubles Down

Ibrahimovic Stands by LeBron James Comments, Doubles Down

AC Milan striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic has defended his controversial appearance at Italy's Sanremo music festival and reiterated his belief that athletes like Los Angeles Lakers star LeBron James should stay out of politics.

Why soccer sportsbooks have slashed the odds for Mourinho to leave Tottenham

Why soccer sportsbooks have slashed the odds for Mourinho to leave Tottenham

While most soccer fans like to bet on the outcome of a big match, there are many who love to predict which Premier League manager will be the next to get the axe.

Figueiredo Not Nearly as Large of Favorite in Rematch With Moreno

Figueiredo Not Nearly as Large of Favorite in Rematch With Moreno

When Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno fought to a majority draw at UFC 256 in December, the flyweight champ went off as nearly a 1/4 favorite.

Citing Bad Back, Rafael Nadal Out of Rotterdam Tournament

Citing Bad Back, Rafael Nadal Out of Rotterdam Tournament

Rafael Nadal pulled out of next week's hard-court tournament at Rotterdam, Netherlands, because of the bad back that bothered him during the Australian Open.

Sagarin NBA and College Hoops for February 24

Sagarin NBA Betting February 24

Lakers +9 (Opened +6) - There was a 2 point overlay that is now a 5 points overlay - The Lakers are coming off of three straight losses.