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No Third Party: Oddsmakers Say Trump Will Remain in GOP

Written by:
Gilbert Horowitz
Published on:
Dec/29/2020

Quite a few in sitting US President Donald Trump's ardent base have expressed disappointment with the state of the Republican party.  Some have opted to switch their party affiliation to Independent in hopes of a third political party forming with Trump at the helm.

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At issue: The GOP's acceptance of Joe Biden as President-Elect.  Trump supporters argue the Republicans have not done enough to overturn the current President's election defeat.

There are some who support Trump's efforts.  Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-Texas) filed a lawsuit against Vice President Mike Pence to have rules that govern Congress' counting of electoral votes thrown out next week.

From Politico:

The lawsuit asserts that the 1887 law known as the Electoral Count Act, the vague statute that has long governed the electoral vote counting process with minimal drama, unconstitutionally binds Pence from exercising total authority to choose which votes to count.

"Under the Twelfth Amendment, Defendant Pence alone has the exclusive authority and sole discretion to open and permit the counting of the electoral votes for a given state, and where there are competing slates of electors, or where there is objection to any single slate of electors, to determine which electors’ votes, or whether none, shall be counted," the suit contends.

The lawsuit comes before Judge Jeremy Kernodle, a Trump appointee to the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Texas. It's unclear if he'll grant the request for an expedited judgment.

Neither the House or Senate have an appetite to go along with these efforts. 

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Under the rules Gohmert is challenging, all it takes is a single member of each branch to challenge electors from multiple states to force a vote on the matter, Politico further noted. But any challenge is likely to fail under the expected rules. The Democrat-led House will vote to uphold Biden's win, and numerous GOP senators have indicated they do not intend to support Trump's efforts.

Trump's odds of forming a new political party sat at No -2500 while YES pays $800 for every $100 bet at BetOnline.

- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com

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