New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons TNF Free NFL Picks

Written by:
Tommy D
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Johnny Kent is filling in for Tommy D this day to bring us his free picks on the Thursday Night Football game between the New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons.  Get your premium picks daily here.

New England has won four in a row and is coming off its best game of the season, destroying the Browns at home, 45-7, as a 2.5 point favorite.

Conversely, we have the Falcons limping in off a disastrous performance on Sunday that saw them get romped on by the Cowboys, 43-3, as 8-point dogs.

As a result, this line has gotten out of control and, believe it or not, we see some value here with the home dog. Last week at this time, the Falcons opened as a 4-point underdog in this game, but after last week’s results, the betting markets have overreacted and bet the Pats up to a 7.5 point favorite and this is too steep for us not to grab the underdog.

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