Nationals vs. Rockies Free Pick - April 22

We have a total of 11 across the board and we do have to look at the OVER in the Nats-Rockies game Monday night.  This one starts at 9:40 pm EST.

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Six of the last seven meetings in Colorado have gone OVER the current total of 11.

Colorado started off the season bad but is 6-1 in their last seven games inching towards the .500 mark at 9-13.  Washington is at the .500 mark (10-10). 

PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Jeremy Hellickson (2-0, 2.63 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (0-2, 11.00)

Hellickson recorded his second win in as many starts on Wednesday after allowing two runs on five hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 9-6 victory versus San Francisco. The 32-year-old drove up his pitch count by issuing four walks for the second straight outing. Hellickson has split a pair of decisions in two career starts against Colorado, permitting eight runs on 11 hits in 12 innings.

Anderson is expected to be reinstated from the 10-day injured list on Monday after being sidelined since April 7 with left knee inflammation. "It's a lot better," the 29-year-old told reporters. "The fact that I can walk is a big difference. It was bothering me to walk and do normal activities. Now that we got the fluid out of there, it's much better." Anderson owns a 1-0 mark with a 2.50 ERA in three career outings against Washington, although Zimmerman has gone deep to account for his lone hit versus the hurler.

The OVER is 7-2 in the Nationals last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

The UNDER is 10-1 in Hellickson’s last 11 road starts.

But the key component here is the Nationals are coming into Colorado with the worst bullpen (a combined 7.41 ERA) and the head-to-head trends in Colorado really favor the OVER here.

Colorado has scored five or more runs in four of their last six games overall.

Washington has permitted six or more runs in four of their last ten games overall.

The OVER is 5-0 in Anderson’s last 5 home starts and 10-4-1 in Anderson’s last 15 starts overall.