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The Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins betting line had Washington at -117 and Miami +108. The total was coming in at 7.5 after opening at 8. Some books had this total as high as 8.5.
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What We Like
- Anabal Sanchez is a decent pitcher desperate for his first win
What We Don't Like
- Only three of the last ten meetings have gone UNDER the current total of 7.5
- The OVER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings
Most of the action here is on the Nationals.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Anabal Sanchez (0-1, 4.86 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Caleb Smith (1-0, 2.65)
Sanchez, who spent the first 6 1/2 seasons of his career with the Marlins before he was traded to Detroit, remains in search of his first win with Washington despite a strong effort last time out. The 35-year-old Venezuelan tossed a season-high seven innings against Pittsburgh and allowed two runs on seven hits but had to settle for a no-decision. Countryman Martin Prado has been a nemesis with 15 hits in 36 at-bats off Sanchez, who was 0-1 with a 3.86 in two starts versus Miami last year.
Smith is coming off his finest effort of the young season, earning his first win by striking out six and limited Philadelphia to one hit his over six scoreless frames. The 27-year-old Texan also registered a quality start in his previous outing at Atlanta, giving up three runs on four hits over six innings in a no-decision. Smith has pitched well at home in his two seasons with the Marlins, going 3-2 in nine starts while striking out 56 batters in 48 1/3 innings.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
