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With the college football regular season completed the number of game to wager on just tumbled. We still have a few weeks remaining in the NFL’s 2019 regular season and the action is heating up all over the place. The sportsbooks got some revenge on the wise guy picks last week, however, that won’t deter us from moving forward in search of another profitable week. We cashed just one winning ticket in the three games we played last week, and with time running out on the season we need to get as much as we can.
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Our only win came on Thanksgiving night when the wise guy-backed Saints avenged an earlier loss to the Falcons and clinched their third straight NFC South title with a 26-18 win. Wise guys bought the Saints at -5 before the line went up. It didn’t matter, New Orleans even covered the closing 7-point spread for their third straight victory since an embarrassing 26-9 home setback to their division rival.
Things didn’t break the way of the wise guys on Sunday with a pair of losses dropping us to 1-2 in games we monitored. Of course the Redskins had their highest scoring game of the season in a matchup wise guys played the under. The Skins won their second straight and ushered Ron Rivera out the door with a 29-21 win over Carolina, exceeding the total. And the worst loss of Kyler Murray’s playing career at any level doomed us. The Rams won their fifth straight over the Cards, 34-7, easily covering the spread. Wise guys expected a different result, but it was more of the same. The Rams won the last five encounters by a combined score of 164-32.
There is a full slate of games in Week 14 and its back to the normal schedule following the Turkey Day feast. Let’s visit some games where wise guy action has influenced the line or total and get back to winning money. And remember, BookMaker will have spreads and totals for every NFL matchup during the 2019 season. Visit BookMaker.eu when you’re ready to wager on your favorite NFL team.
NFL Week 14 Wise Guy Picks
Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers ( -13, 41 )
Washington showed it can score by putting up a season-high point total in last week’s 29-21 win over the Panthers. Wise guys are going back to the well, however, with the Skins offense still a mess. The total hit the board at 42 and over 60 percent of inspired betters threw down on the over. They were likely counting on Aaron Rodgers to dismantle the Skins, but even the Packers are having issues offensively.
Going against the public the total dropped to 41. Dwayne Haskins is still trying to figure out how to become an NFL quarterback and the Skins, despite their eruption, average a league-low 14.4 points. The lack of a run game has made Green Bay one-dimensional. The good thing is that the one dimension is Rodgers. But expect the Pack to work on the run game against the Skins bottom-five group, which will limit points.
Denver Broncos at Houston Texans ( -9.5, 42.5 )
Coming off their huge win over New England the Texans surfaced as an 8-point favorite for this matchup. Interestingly enough, the visiting Broncos were scooped up by nearly 80 percent of the public. You would expect the line to drop with that amount of action, but wise guys have their fingerprints all over this game. The spread increased to Houston -9 with sharps clearly backing the home team.
The Texans are having a nice season and they just slapped 28 points on the NFL’s top-ranked scoring defense. There could be a letdown against the 4-win Broncos, but Houston has just a one-game lead in the AFC South with two enormous tilts against second-place Tennessee over the final three weeks. Wise guys are counting on the Deshaun Watson taking care of business.
Los Angeles Chargers (-3, 43.5 ) at Jacksonville Jaguars
This is the game of the week between underachievers. Both teams are 4-8 and out of the AFC playoff picture, but at least we get the return of Minshew Mania. Rookie Gardner Minshew was named the starter for the rest of the season after the Jags lost their fourth straight. That didn’t convince oddsmakers, though, who opened the Chargers -1.
Joe Fan liked the move with around 65 percent of the public backing the Jags. However, sharp action pushed the line to Bolts -3. There always seems to be one snake-bit team a season and the Chargers would be it. They’ve lost three in a row by a total of 12 points and all eight losses have been by seven points or less. Something has to go their way. Wise guys are counting on it.
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