NFL Betting – Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

An interconference battle of division leaders headlines the late window of games on the Week 11 Sunday NFL schedule when the Green Bay Packers visit the Indianapolis Colts. Coming off an emphatic win over AFC South rival Tennessee to take over the top spot, the Colts also enjoyed a mini-bye after that Thursday night victory. Their top-ranked defense will be tested by the NFL’s third-best scoring team led by Aaron Rodgers. The Packers hold a comfortable lead in the NFC North following two straight wins that improved their record to 7-2. Indy is positioned as a 1.5-point favorite on the NFL betting line.  Bookmaker.eu offers a generous welcome bonus (max bonus $1600).

Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts
Date and Time: Sunday, November 22, 2020, 4:25 p.m. ET
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
NFL Odds: Indianapolis -1.5, O/U 51.5
Packers at Colts TV Coverage: FOX

Odds Analysis

The betting public is backing the Packers in this rare meeting with early action on the visitors pushing the line down. Green Bay hit the board catching 3-points and currently sits as a 1.5-point road dog. Though they failed to cover the 13.5-point spread in last week’s 24-20 win over Jacksonville, the Pack has been a good bet going 6-3 ATS. They are 4-1 SU and ATS on the road this season. The Colts bounced back from an awful game against Baltimore to grab a share of first in their division with a 34-17 payout win at Tennessee in Week 10, improving to 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS. The Colts are 0-2 ATS in their last two home contests. The total has remained firm at 51 and if it holds it will be the highest in a Colts game this season.

Green Bay Packers

It wasn’t pretty but it was a win, further solidifying Green Bay’s standing at the top of the NFC North. Rodgers delivered a fourth quarter touchdown pass to Devante Adams and the defense did the rest in an uncomfortable 24-20 win over the Jags. Rodgers threw for 325 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the comeback. With Seattle dropping three of four the Packers have moved into the top spot in the conference, tied with New Orleans and holding the tie-breaker thanks to a Week 3 win over the Saints.

Rodgers could be getting some help in the passing, as if he needs it. Adams was hindered by an ankle injury against the Jags yet still led the team with eight receptions, including the eventual game-winning touchdown catch. Much was made about the decision to not draft a receiver, but the Packers have done well boasting the sixth-best passing game. Allen Lazard is back on the roster after missing the last six games. He emerged as a threat with 13 receptions for 254 yards and a pair of scores over the first three weeks of the season.

The Packers will need all the weapons available to combat Indy’s pass defense. The Colts allow less than 200 yards per game through the air to rank second in the NFL. They held Ryan Tannehill to 147 passing yards last week. Some semblance of a run game will help soften Indy’s aggressive defenders. The Packers managed just 80 yards on 25 carries against the Jags.

Indianapolis Colts

Philip Rivers was brought in to lead the offense, but Indy’s defense has been doing a bulk of the work this year. The Colts are a middle of the road team offensively averaging 368.2 yards (15th) and 26.9 points (14th) per game. They sit atop the division thanks to the NFL’s best total defense and fourth-ranked scoring unit. Rivers has done just fine leading the troops throwing for nearly 2,400 yards. He bounced back from an awful game against the Ravens with 308 yards on 29 of 39 passing against Tennessee.

The offense can be a lot better, though. Rivers has just 11 touchdown passes with seven interceptions. T.Y. Hilton has been in and out of the lineup and the loss of Marlon Mack earlier in the year impacted the running game. The line has been a bright spot allowing a league-low nine quarterback sacks, so there is something to build on.

The defense has been solid all year and will give Rodgers a hard time. The Colts are first in total defense, second against the pass, third against the run and allow the fourth-fewest points in the NFL. They’ve held five opponents to 21 points or less, including the Titans in last week’s win, and they have the second-most interceptions in the league. Green Bay’s five giveaways are just one more than Tennessee’s league-low total.

Bet Packers at Colts at BookMaker.eu

It’s hard to pick a winner in this matchup, which is why playing the under looks like the best play. Indy’s defense is for real and the Packers aren’t bad. It looks like Jaire Alexander is ready to return strengthening Green Bay’s secondary and getting Christian Kirksey back last week bolstered the second level. The Packers just keep winning and it’s tough to go against Rodgers when he’s getting points.

NFL Score Prediction: Green Bay 21, Indianapolis 17

Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.

- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com

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