NFL Betting – Buffalo Bills Win Total 2020

Written by:
Phil Simon
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Now that the GOAT has left New England many feel the AFC East is ripe for a takeover. The team most feel has the best chance is the Buffalo Bills. They are coming off a 10-win season, their first in two decades, and reached the playoffs for the second time in three years. The club apparently wasn’t satisfied using a busy offseason to land a top receiver in Stefon Diggs to give the passing attack some life. There are no glaring weaknesses on this team as the Bills look to take the next step and win their first division title since 1995. To do that they’ll likely need to win more than nine games, which is the number oddsmakers set as Buffalo’s win total.

Buffalo Bills Win Total Odds at BookMaker.eu

Bills Over 9 Wins -115
Bills Under 9 Wins -105

2020 Buffalo Bills Offense Preview

One of the NFL’s best receivers getting traded while still in his prime; it happened twice this offseason. The acquisition of Diggs should bolster an offense that ranked 24th in total yards and averaged only 19.6 points per game. The 2019 numbers were better than the previous season, though, and the continued development of Josh Allen should help those numbers soar in 2020.

There remains a lot of room for growth with Allen. We saw glimpses of his ability last season as he led the NFL with five fourth-quarter game-winning drives. But he completed less than 59 percent of his passes with nine interceptions while getting sacked 38 times. It doesn’t sound like a lot of sacks, but for a guy who ranked 21st in total pass attempts it was too many. Buffalo ranked next to last in pass yards per game with the addition of Diggs expected to boost the attack. Diggs caught 39 fewer balls than he did the previous season with Minnesota, but his yardage total increased by more than 100.

Paired with John Brown, who led the team in receptions and receiving yards in 2019, and Cole Beasley, Allen has plenty of options. The run game worked last year averaging 124 yards per game. Devin Singletary is back to handle chores after going for 775 yards. Third-round pick Zack Moss will also get touches. Let’s not overlook what Allen did on the ground. He ran for 510 yards with nine touchdowns, the eighth-most in the league. Ideally Sean McDermott would like to see more balance, and more points.

2020 Buffalo Bills Defense Preview

A former successful defensive coordinator in the league, McDermott has his prints all over the Bills. Last year they allowed just 16.2 points per game to rank second. They also placed third in total defense, a second straight top five-five finish, with an average of 294.1 yards surrendered. The group was stingy and potentially got better. Mario Addison registered 37 sacks over the last four years with Carolina and will provide depth to an already good front.

Pass defense was especially tough last year. The Bills allowed a league-low 179.2 yards per game through the air while conceding only 15 scoring passes. All-Pro Tre’Davious White, who tied for the NFL lead with six interceptions, anchors the secondary along with underrated safeties Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde. Josh Norman has a chance to fortify the group. The skill as one of the best cover corners has eroded, but reuniting with McDermott, who was Norman’s DC at Carolina, could boost his career.

On top of signing Norman to a one-year ‘show me’ deal and Addison, the Bills added several other pieces. Jordan Phillips and Shaq Lawson bolted, and Lorenzo Alexander retired forcing their hand. In steps Quinton Jefferson and Vernon Butler on the line plus linebacker A.J. Klein. I can’t imagine the group being worse than last year, though some regression is likely. If all goes according to plan, the offense will fill that gap.

2020 Buffalo Bills Schedule Analysis

You can tell a team has reached the NFL’s big stage by the number of primetime games on the schedule. This year the Bills are slated for four such matchups, the first of which is a Week 6 Thursday night clash with the defending champion Chiefs. They also have primetime matchups against San Francisco, Pittsburgh and New England.

A quick jump out of the gate will help in Buffalo’s quest for double-digit wins and the AFC East title. Home games against the Jets and Rams with road tilts at Miami and Las Vegas are all winnable. After that salvo the Bills face AFC Championship participants Tennessee and KC in consecutive weeks. The longest trip last season was to Houston for a playoff game. This season the Bills play at San Francisco, Arizona, Denver and Las Vegas.

Bet Buffalo Bills Win Total at BookMaker.eu

The Bills are solid at every position and definitely have the potential to be better offensively with the addition of Diggs. Allen made progress from his 2018 rookie season to last and that needs to continue. Defensively they added some key figures and plugged holes created by free agency and retirement. This is Buffalo’s year to unseat the Pats at the top of the division and the Bills have the pieces in place to top their projected win total.

NFL Odds: Buffalo Bills Over 9 Wins

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- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com

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