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No crazy line moves when the Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Arizona Wildcats game popped on the board but the number has jumped from -8 to -11 over the course of the week. One would assume all the money was on the Bulldogs and that's certainly the case with 70% backing them at -11.
Sagarin has Mississippi State (30) with a power rating of 79.13. Arizona (56) was coming in at 73.02 and gets home field advantage. This gives us a line of Bulldogs -4, far from the current -11 number.
Surely Arizona must have injuries, right?
We're not finding any.
Most of the handicapping experts across the Net believe Mississippi St. will be too much for Arizona, a team that beat SDSU last week. The Bulldogs are an SEC team after all. But few, if any, have Mississippi State beating Arizona by more than ten points.
Big overlays on Sagarin time and time again tend to be blowouts. That's not always the case, and we don't think it will be here. Arizona covers +11
The Double Result Mississippi St/Mississippi St is listed with only a -170 line for added value.
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Arizona Wildcats Prop Bets
First To Score
Mississippi St. -175
Arizona +145
First Score of the Game
Touchdown -350
Field Goal +250
Any Other +4000
First Scoring Play of the Game
Mississippi St. TD +105
Mississippi St. FG +450
Mississippi St. Any Other Score +5000
Arizona TD +190
Arizona FG +775
Arizona Any Other Score +5000
A Team to Score 3 Unanswered Times
Yes -280
No +220
Team Scoring 1st Wins Game
Yes -210
No +170
Winning Margin
Mississippi St. to win by 1-6 pts +375
Mississippi St. to win by 7-12 pts +425
Mississippi St. to win by 13-18 pts +425
Mississippi St. to win by 19-24 pts +550
Mississippi St. to win by 25-30 pts +1000
Mississippi St. to win by 31-36 pts +1400
Mississippi St. to win by 37-42 pts +2000
Mississippi St. to win by 43 or more pts +2000
Arizona to win by 1-6 pts +650
Arizona to win by 7-12 pts +1200
Arizona to win by 13-18 pts +2500
Arizona to win by 19-24 pts +6000
Arizona to win by 25-30 pts +9000
Arizona to win by 31-36 pts +10000
Arizona to win by 37-42 pts +11000
Arizona to win by 43 or more pts +12500
Double Result
Mississippi St./Mississippi St. -170
Mississippi St./Tie +4000
Mississippi St./Arizona +1100
Tie/Mississippi St. +1200
Tie/Tie +4000
Tie/Arizona +2500
Arizona/Mississippi St. +550
Arizona/Tie +4000
Arizona/Arizona +500
- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com
