Milwaukee Bucks vs. Houston Rockets Free Pick, Betting Odds - August 2

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:

The Milwaukee Bucks vs. Houston Rockets game Sunday starts at 8:30 pm ET and features a line of Bucks -4.5 and a money line of -175.  Bookmaker.eu offers a generous welcome bonus (maximum $1000 bonus).

*Up to $1500 welcome bonus
*Payouts in just a few hours with certain funding methods
*Highest betting limits on the Web
*Accessible from most US states (prohibited in NJ)
*Best in-play betting all NBA, NHL Playoffs games
*In business since 1986

TIME: 3:30 p.m. ET. TV: ABC

Action and Line Movement

It's a good technique to monitor moneyline movements compared to action.  85% of the spread action is on the Bucks, and this has made the number move from -3.5 (where it opened) to -5.  Overnight books were hanging at -4/-4.5 and by the morning, books were mostly sitting on the -4.5/-5.  The books are definitely responding to the action coming in.  We are not seeing a strong opinion where they believe Houston will cover.  BetOnline's jump from -165 to -195 on the moneyline speaks volumes that this particular book is discouraging action on Milwaukee to win outright at least.  There is a good chance this one lands on Milwaukee -3.  After all, Russell Westbrook had just joined the team when Milwaukee last faced Houston and won by 6 points.  He and James Harden combined for 80 points in their last game against the Mavericks. 

Pinnacle just before 3:30 pm ET moved the line up to -5.5.  All books had moved above -4.5 by 4 pm ET.

Hot Trends

  • Bucks are 5-1 Against The Spread in the last 6 meetings.

What Sagarin Says

Sagarin indicates a line of -3 Milwaukee, so there is definitely a bit of an overlay here.


That Westbrook-Harden combo is lethal, but is it enough to beat the Bucks.  As noted, Sagarin has Milwaukee rated three points better than the Rockets.

The Bucks (54-12) were not at full strength in their 119-112 win over the Boston Celtics on Friday.  Guards Eric Bledsoe and Pat Connaughton continue to ramp up their conditioning following their late addition to the bubble near Orlando after testing positive for COVID-19.

Sagarin does not take into account this component. 

With this in mind, we see a better chance of Houston covering within 4 baskets. 

Take the Rockets +5.



OVERALL NBA RECORD 2020: 63-40-1 61.2%


OVERALL MLS RECORD 2020: 1-0 100%

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

Sports Handicapping News

Dolphins-Jaguars Last Minute Pick

Dolphins-Jaguars Last Minute Pick

With the Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars line dipping to Jaguars -2.5 at some books just prior to game time, Gambling911.com will be on our home team Dolphins +3 (a number of books were still holding at +3).

Bills-Dolphins Bookie Line Analysis

Gambling911.com looks at ways to minimize exposure for local bookies taking action on the Bills-Dolphins game Sunday.   A well run Pay Per Head solution can adjust lines accordingly.

2020 Week 2 NFL Morning Odds, Betting Action, Free Picks

2020 Week 2 NFL Morning Odds, Betting Action, Free Picks

Gambling911.com has your Week 2 NFL morning odds along with the sides seeing the most wagering action this Sunday AM.

Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Preview, Prop Bets Game 7

Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Preview, Prop Bets Game 7

The Denver Nuggets were seeing 75% of the spread action as a +7.5 dog in this critical Game 7 versus the LA Clippers. 

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game 1 Betting Odds, Props

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game 1 Betting Odds, Prop Bets

The Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game 1 line had Boston at -1.5.  This line had not moved with around 65% of the spread backing on the Celtics.  Heritage Sports was holding the number at -2 starting Monday night just before 10 pm EST.