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MLB Line, Total Shifts, Consensus Plays and Betting Analysis June 12

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Jun/12/2019

Gambling911.com has your MLB line, total shifts and consensus plays betting analysis for Wednesday June 12.  A must read prior to placing your MLB wagers. Scroll down for all of today's game previews

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Rays - Tampa Bay was seeing 83% of the action as a -157 favorite against Oakland.  This line has not moved much and remains just under the -160 threshold we won't cross in making a pick.  Keep in mind, bets need to be in prior to game time 12:10 pm ET.

Tampa has won six of the last ten meetings and own a 41-25 record (Oakland is at the .500 mark).  The Rays are 3-3 in their last ten games priced under -160.  Four of those last ten they were priced above -160.  They have won six of their last ten overall.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics LH Brett Anderson (6-4, 3.98 ERA) vs. Rays RH Yonny Chirinos (7-2, 2.87)

Anderson allowed three runs for the second straight start on Friday, and he permitted eight hits in 6 1/3 innings of a no-decision at Texas. The 31-year-old has been taken deep in each of his last three trips to the mound and six times in his last five after surrendering just one homer in his previous nine. Mike Zunino (2-for-9, two doubles) has experienced some success versus Anderson, who owns a 1-1 mark with a 4.00 ERA in four career starts against Tampa Bay.

Chirinos authored a gem in his last trip to the mound, scattering two hits and striking out six over eight scoreless innings in a 5-1 win at Boston. The 25-year-old needed just 50 pitches to breeze through the first five innings and didn't allow a baserunner or hit until the sixth. Chirinos owns a 4-1 mark while limiting the opposition to a .195 batting average at home, although he permitted four runs on nine hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 6-2 setback versus visiting Minnesota on June 1.

Anderson is probably due for a good outing here.  This scenario makes it tough to back Tampa Bay but even tougher to make a play against a team that owns such a stellar record versus one that is just at the .500 mark (Oakland).

While the Athletics are 5-2 in Anderson’s last 7 starts, they are just 1-10 in their last 11 vs. American League East.

Six of the last ten meetings have stayed UNDER the current total of 8.5.  This one has mostly trended downwards from 9.

Cardinals - 80% of consensus plays (updated 6:15 pm) - If you read our earlier previews of the Indians and Rays games, you'll see we were pretty much on target.  Tampa, in particular, was seeing heavy action and got a nice beatdown from the A's.

St. Louis has jumped from -151 to -175, an indication the books don't want you betting St. Louis.  This is especially true with St. Louis winning the last four.

Braves - 80% of consensus plays but at -220?  No way!

Indians - Cleveland is seeing better than 90% of the money line action at some books versus the Cincinnati Reds.  We tend to steer clear of interleague matchups but neither team is particularly good.  Cleveland is two wins above .500 while Cincinnati is a few games below the .500 mark. The last ten meetings only date back to 2017 so this series is one we can certainly examine (similar to the Subway Series between the Mets and Yankees) as there are ample enough recent trends.

Cleveland has won the last five meetings.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-3, 4.70 ERA) vs. Indians RH Zach Plesac (1-1, 1.86)

DeSclafani has gone more than five weeks without a victory, stretching his winless drought to five starts last time out at St. Louis despite holding the Cardinals to one run and striking out seven over five innings. The 29-year-old was 0-2 over his previous four outings, giving up a combined 15 runs while failing to pitch beyond four innings in three of them. Carlos Santana has three doubles in six at-bats and Jason Kipnis is 3-for-9 against DeSclafani, who had a 1-1 record in 3.79 ERA in three starts versus Cleveland.

Plesac has provided a spark to the Indians' injury-ravaged rotation since he was promoted from the minors late last month and earned his first major league victory by limiting the New York Yankees to two runs over seven innings in his third career start. The nephew of former All-Star closer Dan Plesac, he also went seven innings in his previous turn but was a hard-luck loser after allowing one run and four hits at the Chicago White Sox. The 24-year-old is holding batters to a .209 average in his three starts.

DeSclafani will be desperate for a victory in this one.  He has a 24% strikeout rate and a 7% walk rate that can be brought to this game, but he's given up 14 homers so far this season.  That's enough to scare us away from the UNDER. 

Twins - 77% of consensus plays

Astros - Houston consensus plays are 76%

Padres - 72% of consensus plays (updated 6:32 pm ET)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Padres LH Joey Lucchesi (5-3, 4.21 ERA) vs. Giants RH Shaun Anderson (1-1, 4.18)

Lucchesi finished the month of May with a 2.97 ERA and 28-to-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 30 1/3 innings but allowed four runs over five innings against Washington on Thursday. The 26-year-old native Californian owns a 3.11 ERA in eight home starts this season compared to a 6.75 mark in four outings away from Petco Park. Lucchesi is 2-1 with a 4.87 ERA in four career starts versus San Francisco - including 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two outings this season.

Anderson bolstered his case to stick in the Giants' rotation with another solid start Thursday, allowing three runs in six innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets. "He did a terrific job," manager Bruce Bochy told reporters. "He had great poise out there. He pitched out of a jam and settled down. He gave us a chance to win." The 24-year-old native of Florida owns a 16-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his first five starts covering 28 innings.

San Diego has won six of the last ten meetings. 

Lucchesi is a good pitcher coming off a bad start.  But the line has dropped from -144 to -130, and that's enough to keep us away.

- Tony Caliente, Gambling911.com

Our Free Picks Record June 12

2019 MLB Record: 16-9-2 (64%) - No Plays Over -160

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 7-5 (58%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

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MLB Line, Total Shifts, Consensus Plays and Betting Analysis June 23

MLB Line, Total Shifts, Consensus Plays and Betting Analysis June 23

Gambling911.com has your MLB line, total shifts and consensus plays betting analysis for Sunday June 23, 2019.  A must read prior to placing your MLB wagers.

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview June 23

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview June 23

San Diego comes into their game against Pittsburgh as a -151 road favorite.  This one features a total of 9.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview - June 23

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview - June 23

Cleveland was a big -200 favorite with Detroit +170.  The total was shifting between 8.5 and 9.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadephia Phillies Betting Preview  - June 23

Miami Marlins vs. Philadephia Phillies Betting Preview - June 23

The overnight line on the Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies game had Philadelphia as a -158 to -160 favorite across the board offshore with the New Jersey licensed books -159 to -165. The total has mostly moved between 8.5 and 9.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Betting Preview - June 23

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Betting Preview, Free Pick - June 23

The overnight line on the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox game had Boston a little too high for our tastes at -168.  Toronto was coming in at +155.  There was little movement with this line.  The total moved from 9.5 to 10.  The line was as high as -179 at some of the New Jersey licensed sportsbooks.

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