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Liz Cheney to be Reelected in Wyoming Odds at -3000..... Not to Be

Written by:
Gilbert Horowitz
Published on:
Aug/13/2022

For anyone believing Congresswoman Liz Cheney is going to be reelected in Tuesday's Republican Wyoming primary, the payout is substantial at BetOnline: $90 on a $10 bet, $900 on a $100 bet

Sure we've had bigger longshots win in various events.  The 2022 Kentucky Derby delivered us an 80-1 longshot winner with Rich Strike.

Liz Cheney, however, is not a horse.

Her odds are based on real time data.  She is the -3000 favorite not to win.  Recent state polls show the incumbant Congresswoman some 30 points behind her opponent, Harriet Hageman, the Donald Trump-backed candidate.

Trump won Wyoming by the largest margin in the 2020 U.S. Presidential race. 

Cheney not only went on to vote to impeach the former President, she is also serving as Vice-Chair of the January 6 Select Committee to investigate the Capitol riots. She has been among the most vocal critics of Trump.

In a final campaign ad now airing in the Cowboy State, Cheney continued to condemn Trump.

"America cannot remain free if we abandon the truth," Cheney said. "The lie that the 2020 presidential election was stolen in insidious, it preys on those who love their country, it is a door Donald Trump opened to manipulate Americans to abandon their principles, to sacrifice their freedom, to justify violence, to ignore the rulings of our courts and the rule of law."

liz-cheney-081322.png

For her part, Hageman casts Cheney as a Washington elitist.

"She doesn’t represent Wyoming and she doesn’t represent conservatives, Hageman says.  "We deserve better. We demand better. I am running to represent Wyomingites and take our state back from big government."

Wyoming has the smallest population in the U.S. (just 581,348).  29 cities in the U.S. are more populous.  Regardless, this could prove to be one of the most watched and wagered on primaries thus far.

Because Wyoming's Republican primary is open, anyone can change their party affiliation before the polls open.  A number of Democrats and Independents are expected to switch party affiliations for the moment in order to vote for Cheney.  Unfortunately for the Congresswoman, there aren't many of them, maybe just over a quarter of the state population identify as a Democrat or Independent.

“Cheney's challenge right now is to get to those voters who disagreed with some aspects of Trump's behavior as president in his post-election activities,” Jim King, a political science professor at the University of Wyoming, told Wyoming Public Media.

- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com

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