Jay Gruden First NFL Head Coach Fired Odds

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Oct/02/2019

We're only a quarter of the way through the season, but the seat of a few NFL head coaches is becoming increasingly hot.


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Rumors regarding Jay Gruden's potential exodus from Washington have been swirling the last two weeks so SportsBetting.ag (@SportsBettingAG) has projected who might be coaching the Redskins in 2020.

The site also has odds for who will be the head coaches in Atlanta and Houston if those teams decide to move on from Dan Quinn and Bill O'Brien next year. There are some surprising candidates on the board.

Gruden, Quinn and O'Brien have the lowest odds in the updated list for first head coach to be fired, resign or retire this season. Doug Marrone and Pat Shurmur round out the top 5.

In Denver, the odds support John Elway losing his position as the Broncos' GM.

Updated MVP and Rookie of the Year odds:

Also below are a few historical betting trends relevant to Week 5 and prop bets such as the first undefeated team to lose (three remaining).

But before you get to those, check out how little Mitchell Trubisky's absence affects the betting lines:

"The Bears' odds are not impacted at all by the loss of Trubisky as he has the same value to the spread as his backup," oddsmaker Adam Burns said. "Trubisky is more athletic, has more escapability, but he can't hit the broad side of a barn. Chase Daniel wins the accuracy contest every day."

- Mitchell Trubisky value to the spread: 1-2 points
- Chase Daniel value to the spread: 1-2 point

Current odds: (go here for live odds)

Will Jay Gruden be fired after Week 5?
Yes +110
No -150

Will Jay Gruden join staff of another team this season? (Must be fired by Redskins for action)
Yes -200
No +150

First head coach to lose his job during regular season (fired, resigned, retire)
Jay Gruden  +100
Bill O'Brien  +300
Dan Quinn  +400
Doug Marrone  +800
Pat Shurmur  +800
Ron Rivera  +1000
Matt Patricia  +1000
Freddie Kitchens  +1400
Vic Fangio  +1800
Mike Zimmer  +2000
Kliff Kingsbury  +2200
Adam Gase  +2500
Brian Flores  +2500
Matt LaFleur  +3000
Mike Vrabel  +3000
Mike Tomlin  +3500
Zac Taylor  +4000

Falcons head coach in Week 1 of 2020 season
Matt Eberflus +350
Josh McDaniels +400
Norv Turner +500
Mike Munchak +500
Jim Harbaugh +500
Jim Schwartz +550
Greg Roman +700
Jay Gruden +700
Jack Del Rio +1000

Redskins head coach in Week 1 of 2020 season
Byron Leftwich +250
Mike McCarthy +275
Jim Caldwell +425
Ken Whisenhunt +500
Brian Schottenheimer +600
Josh McDaniels +800
Eric Bieniemy +1000

Texans head coach in Week 1 of 2020 season
Josh McDaniels +250
Eric Bieniemy +400
Jim Caldwell +400
Mike Munchak +500
Mike McCarthy +800
Byron Leftwich +800
Jim Harbaugh +1000
Mike Gundy +1000
Jay Gruden +1500

Will John Elway be Broncos GM in Week 1 of 2020 season?
Yes +150
No -200

Will Jalen Ramsey play another game for the Jaguars?
Yes -120
No -120

First undefeated team to lose
49ers -300
Chiefs +150
Patriots +250

First team to lose (no action if both undefeated on 12/8/19)
Chiefs -500
Patriots +300

Will the Dolphins go 0-16?
Yes +250
No -400

Will the Patriots go 16-0?
Yes +400
No -600

Historical Betting Trends from SportsBetting.ag

- Russell Wilson is 14-2 straight up and 12-3-1 against the spread in primetime games in Seattle. The Seahawks opened as 1-point underdogs for Thursday's game but are now 2-point favorites.

- The Saints have covered the spread in 13 straight October games (12-1 record). The last time they didn't cover in October was Week 5 of the 2015 season. New Orleans is a 3-point home favorite Sunday.

- Atlanta doesn't fare well against the AFC, going 1-11 straight up and 0-12 against the spread in its last 12 games against the other conference. The Falcons are 5-point dogs at Houston this weekend.

- The Cardinals are 1-9 straight up and 1-9 against the spread in their last 10 games played in the Eastern Time Zone. They are a 3.5-point underdogs at Cincinnati.

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