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Iowa vs. Cincinnati Free Pick, Prediction, Betting Odds - March 22

Written by:
Ean Lamb
Published on:
Mar/21/2019

Gambling911.com has your predictions for the Iowa vs. Cincinnati game along with the latest odds.

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Iowa - The Hawkeyes average around 79 points per game.  They have three players who can easily score double digits. That being said, this is a Hawkeyes team that has failed to cover in nine of their last ten games. 

CBS SportsLine: "Iowa is among the nation's premier 3-point shooting teams. It's hitting eight treys per game and faces a Bearcats defense that ranks 213th against the three (35.2 percent). With all the long-range gunners, the Hawkeyes have a go-to post standout in junior Tyler Cook, who leads the team in scoring (14.9 points per game) and rebounding (7.9).

"And they have a clutch performer in Jordan Bohannon, whose 75 points in the final two minutes of games and overtime is tops in the nation. Iowa may be coming into March Madness 2019 in a funk, but it is 9-1 against the spread in its last 10 neutral-site games, while Cincinnati has covered just twice in its last 11 overall."

Cincinnati - Home team advantage right through Sweet 16 if they make it there.  This week they play in Columbus, just over an hour away from Cincinnati.  If they advance in the Sweet 16, it's down to Louisville, also an hour away. The Bearcats score only 30 percent of their points from 3s and play at one of the 35 slowest tempos in college basketball.  Something to keep in mind.

Predictions

College Football News: "Iowa just has to play Iowa’s game. It has to hold down the Bearcats from the outside, and it has to own the glass throughout – and it will. However …How does Cincinnati get a game just 100 miles away in Columbus?  The Hawkeye defense isn’t anything special, and the Bearcats will do just enough keep the game slow and low scoring. Iowa has been way too inconsistent, and the offense will miss just enough to keep it close. The UC defensive pressure will take over in the second half."

They predict Cincinnati will cover the -3.5 spread with a 4 point victory.

ESPN.com Computer Model: ESPN’s computer model believes that Cincinnati has the advantage in this one. The computer model gives the Bearcats a 59.4 percent chance to win this Friday’s game.

"No. 7 Cincinnati stunned heavily favored Houston in the AAC Tournament Finals and clinch their ninth straight NCAA Tournament appearance. The Bearcats have a bit of an edge, having won their First Round opponent in back-to-back years. 10 Iowa has been on the downswing over the past month, losing six of the last eight games and getting smoked by Michigan in the Big Ten Tournament. The Hawkeyes are making their first Tournament appearance since 2016."

Action vs. Line Movement

67% of the spread action was on Cincinnati.  This line has trended from Bearcats -3 to -4.  The books do not have an opinion on this game that goes against public action.

Is the Line Correct?

Sagarin indicates a line of Cincinnati -5.5, factoring in home court advantage.

- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com

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