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How Many Times Has a Winning Super Bowl Team Failed to Cover?

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Jan/29/2021

It is quite rare for a team to win but fail to cover in a Super Bowl.

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In fact, each of the last eleven Super Bowl winners have also managed to cover.

Pittsburgh vs. Arizona in 2009 was the most recent failed cover by a winner.  In that game, the Steelers were listed at -7, but that game turned out to be much closer with a 4-point win by Pittsburgh.

2004 and 2005 we witnessed two consecutive years in which the Super Bowl winner - New England both times - failed to cover a 7 point spread.  Both of these games were won by 3 points.

In the end, only seven Super Bowl winners have failed to cover the posted spread.

Odds, ATS and Scores
SB Final Score Spread (Total) Betting Results AFC/NFC SU/ATS
LIV (Feb 2, 2020) Kansas City 31, San Francisco 20 KC -1.5 (53) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
LIII (Feb 3, 2019) New England 13, Los Angeles 3 NE -2.5 (55.5) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
LII (Feb 4, 2018) Philadelphia 41, New England 33 NE -4.5 (49) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
LI (Feb 5, 2017) New England 34, Atlanta 28 NE -3 (57.5) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
L (Feb 7, 2016) Denver 24, Carolina 10 CAR -4.5 (43) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XLIX (Feb 1, 2015) New England 28, Seattle 24 SEA -1 (47.5) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XLVIII (Feb 2, 2014) Seattle 43, Denver 8 DEN -2 (47.5) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XLVII (Feb 3, 2013) Baltimore 34, San Francisco 31 SF -4.5 (48) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XLVI (Feb 5, 2012) N.Y. Giants 21, New England 17 NE -2.5 (53) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XLV (Feb 6 2011) Green Bay 31, Pittsburgh 25 GB -3 (45) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XLIV (Feb 7, 2010) New Orleans 31, Indianapolis 17 IND -5 (57) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XLIII (Feb 1, 2009) Pittsburgh 27, Arizona 23 PIT -7 (46) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU ONLY
XLII (Feb 3, 2008) N.Y. Giants 17, New England 14 NE -12 (55) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XLI (Feb 4, 2007) Indianapolis 29, Chicago 17 IND -7 (47) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XL (Feb 5, 2006) Pittsburgh 21, Seattle 10 PIT -4 (47) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XXIX (Feb 6, 2005) New England 24, Philadelphia 21 NE -7 (46.5) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU ONLY
XXXVIII (Feb 1, 2004) New England 32, Carolina 29 NE -7 (37.5) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU ONLY
XXXVII (Jan 26, 2003) Tampa Bay 48, Oakland 21 OAK -4 (44) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXXVI (Feb 3, 2002) New England 20, St. Louis 17 STL -14 (53) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XXXV (Jan 28, 2001) Baltimore 34, N.Y. Giants 7 BAL -3 (33) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XXXIV (Jan 30, 2000) St. Louis 23, Tennessee 16 STL -7 (45) Push (UNDER) NFC SU ONLY (P)
XXXIII (Jan 31, 1999) Denver 34, Atlanta 19 DEN -7.5 (52.5) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XXXII (Jan 25, 1998) Denver 31, Green Bay 24 GB -11 (49) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XXXI (Jan 26, 1997) Green Bay 35, New England 21 GB -14 (49) Push (OVER) NFC SU ONLY (P)
XXX (Jan 28, 1996) Dallas 27, Pittsburgh 17 DAL -13.5 (51) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU ONLY
XXIX (Jan 29, 1995) San Francisco 49, San Diego 26 SF -18.5 (53.5) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXVIII (Jan 30, 1994) Dallas 30, Buffalo 13 DAL -10.5 (50.5) Favorite (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XXVII (Jan 31, 1993) Dallas 52, Buffalo 17 DAL -6.5 (44.5) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXVI (Jan 26, 1992) Washington 37, Buffalo 24 WAS -7 (49) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXV (Jan 27, 1991) N.Y. Giants 20, Buffalo 19 BUF -7 (40.5) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XXIV (Jan 28, 1990) San Francisco 55, Denver 10 SF -12 (48) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXIII (Jan 22, 1989) San Francisco 20, Cincinnati 16 SF -7 (48) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU ONLY
XXII (Jan 31, 1988) Washington 42, Denver 10 DEN -3 (47) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXI (Jan 25, 1987) N.Y. Giants 39, Denver 20 NYG -9.5 (40) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XX (Jan 26, 1986) Chicago 46, New England 10 CHI -10 (37.5) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XIX (Jan 20, 1985) San Francisco 38, Miami 16 SF -3.5 (53.5) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XVIII (Jan 22, 1984) L.A. Raiders 38, Washington 9 WAS -3 (48) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XVII (Jan 30, 1983) Washington 27, Miami 17 MIA -3 (36.5) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XVI (Jan 24, 1982) San Francisco 26, Cincinnati 21 SF -1 (48) Favorite (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XV (Jan 25, 1981) Oakland 27, Philadelphia 10 PHI -3 (37.5) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XIV (Jan 20, 1980) Pittsburgh 31, L.A. Rams 19 PIT -10.5 (36) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XIII (Jan 21, 1979) Pittsburgh 35, Dallas 31 PIT -3.5 (37) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XII (Jan 15, 1978) Dallas 27, Denver 10 DAL -6 (39) Favorite (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XI (Jan 9, 1977) Oakland 34, Minnesota 14 OAK -4 (38) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
X (Jan 18, 1976) Pittsburgh 21, Dallas 17 PIT -7 (36) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU ONLY
IX (Jan 12, 1975) Pittsburgh 16, Minnesota 6 PIT -3 (33) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
VIII (Jan 13, 1974) Miami 24, Minnesota 7 MIA -6.5 (33) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
VII (Jan 14, 1973) Miami 14, Washington 7 MIA -1 (33) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
VI (Jan 16, 1972) Dallas 24, Miami 3 DAL -6 (34) Favorite (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
V (Jan 17, 1971) Baltimore 16, Dallas 13 BAL -2.5 (36) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
IV (Jan 11, 1970) Kansas City 23, Minnesota 7 MIN -12 (39) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
III (Jan 12, 1969) N.Y. Jets 16, Baltimore 7 BAL-18 (40) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
II (Jan 14, 1968) Green Bay 33, Oakland 14 GB -13.5 (43) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
I (Jan 15, 1967) Green Bay 35, Kansas City 10 GB -14 (N/A) Favorite

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