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In 2020, Tiz The Law was looking to become the first horse to win from the number 17 post position at a Kentucky Derby ever. He just happens to have the lowest number odds in a Kentucky Derby in 32 years.
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Tiz The Law was listed at 4/5 odds following Tuesday's Post Position Draw.
There is an argument to be had that the number 17 position is due for a win and Tiz The Law is just the horse to make this happen.
But one can't ignore the fact that no contender has ever won from that position either.
"I kind of look at it as not 17 with the new starting gate," said Jack Knowlton, managing partner of Sackatoga Stable. "It's probably more like 13, 14, 15 maybe. It's a new world that we are in with the starting gate. Obviously, when you had that gap you were a lot further outside. We had horses win from (post) 20. I don't think it matters much. I'm just a lot happier there than in the 1 or the 2."
"I like it being on the outside," Barclay Tagg, trainer of Tiz the Law, said of the position. "I didn't particularly want to be out that far but we have. He seems to handle everything that gets thrown at him. It gives you a chance if you have any speed at all. It gives you a chance."
As for post 17, Tagg said: "Things happen. There's a lot of horses that didn't win the Derby. Frankly, I'm not that worried about it."
A horse starting from post position 17 has not won a race in 39 tries. That position is tied with post position 19 for the lowest percentage of starters finishing in the money (7.69%).
The Derby, delayed from May 2, saw 18 horses entered but because of COVID-19 will be run without fans.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
