Free MLB Picks - Saturday August 28, 2021

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Aug/28/2021 has some free MLB betting picks for Saturday August 28, 2021 with all lines courtesy of BetOnline here.  They offer a true dime line up to -190 for the best payouts in online baseball wagering.


Hot Teams

AL East

Tampa Bay Rays - The Rays are winning around 00% of their games of late and own a 80-48 record and they will need to keep playing hard to ensure a resurgent New York is kept at bay.

New York Yankees - On a 13-game win streak, the Yankees are now 76-52 but still two games down from Tampa.   Great value now to win the World Series after opening as the favorite with a payout of $950 on every $100 bet.


AL West

Houston Astros - They are playing a bit better now, winning around 60% of their games and up 6.5 games above the imploding A's.

Seattle Mariners - The Mariners are playing well but are 7.5 games down from Houston.


NL East

Atlanta Braves - Heading into Monday, they were now up 5.5 games over the Phillies and playing at an 80% win rate. They owned a 69-58 record but were playing that other hot team in the league, the Yankees.


NL Central

Milwaukee Brewers - They own a 78-51 record and are playing at close to a 60% win rate at the moment and 7.5 games up from the Reds. 

Cincinnati Reds - They own a 71-59 record but are 7.5 games behind the Brewers.  They are winning 60% of their games in the last 10.


NL West

San Francisco Giants - They are playing at an 70% win rate and are 2.5 games above the Dodgers.  They are 83-45.

LA Dodgers - The Dodgers are back!  They are playing at a 80% win rate. They own a 81-48 record.

Top Trends (Coming Into Thursday)

  • White Sox are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Toronto.
  • There has only been one OVER in the last 11 meetings of the White Sox vs. Blue Jays series.
  • Reds are 9-1 in the last 10 games versus the Marlins, three of those in Miami.
  • Giants are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings vs. the Braves (2019 last meeting).
  • The UNDER is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings of the Yankees-Athletics series (coming into Thursday).
  • Yankees are 7-21 in the last 28 meetings in Oakland.
  • OVER is 16-4-1 in the last 21 meetings between the Royals and Mariners.
  • The last 9 games in the Royals-Mariners series have gone OVER 8.5.

Game Watch 

1. Yankees @ Athletics -

Nestor Cortes Jr. (2-1, 2.56) vs. Frankie Montas (9-9, 3.84)

Montas struck out nine batters over seven shutout innings with two hits and two walks allowed in a no-decision as the A's lost 2-1 against the Giants on Sunday.  It was one of his best starts of the season.

With the A's having enjoyed success against the Yankees in Oakland and Montas due for a win, avoid this one like the plague as we are certainly not backing Oakland at this time.

1. Royals @ Mariners

Daniel Lynch (4-3, 4.74) vs. Tyler Anderson (1-0, 3.00)

Total is 8.5.

KC has been playing well of late and have scored 5 or more runs in six of their last eight games.  They have only permitted over 4 runs in three of their last ten games.

Lynch allowed just one run over five innings on Monday in a win over the Astros and, prior to that, just one run on four hits over seven innings in Tuesday's 3-1 win over the Astros.  He is coming off of four straight wins.

Anderson surrendered two runs over 5 1/3 innings on Sunday in a no-decision against the Astros and had a win prior to that game.

Seattle has scored 5 or more runs in half of their last ten games while allowing 6 or more, including two games against the Astros that resulted in 12 and 15 runs, respectively.

Take the OVER 8.5 here


That one hurt last night as we put an end to a 6-game win streak.  Heading into the 9th inning of the Yankees-Athletics game the score still had the total at 7 and we were on the UNDER 7.5 before the A's closer allowed a home run. 

- Dan Shapiro,

Baseball News

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