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Free MLB Picks - Saturday August 28, 2021

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Aug/28/2021

Gambling911.com has some free MLB betting picks for Saturday August 28, 2021 with all lines courtesy of BetOnline here.  They offer a true dime line up to -190 for the best payouts in online baseball wagering.

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Hot Teams

AL East

Tampa Bay Rays - The Rays are winning around 00% of their games of late and own a 80-48 record and they will need to keep playing hard to ensure a resurgent New York is kept at bay.

New York Yankees - On a 13-game win streak, the Yankees are now 76-52 but still two games down from Tampa.   Great value now to win the World Series after opening as the favorite with a payout of $950 on every $100 bet.

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AL West

Houston Astros - They are playing a bit better now, winning around 60% of their games and up 6.5 games above the imploding A's.

Seattle Mariners - The Mariners are playing well but are 7.5 games down from Houston.

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NL East

Atlanta Braves - Heading into Monday, they were now up 5.5 games over the Phillies and playing at an 80% win rate. They owned a 69-58 record but were playing that other hot team in the league, the Yankees.

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NL Central

Milwaukee Brewers - They own a 78-51 record and are playing at close to a 60% win rate at the moment and 7.5 games up from the Reds. 

Cincinnati Reds - They own a 71-59 record but are 7.5 games behind the Brewers.  They are winning 60% of their games in the last 10.

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NL West

San Francisco Giants - They are playing at an 70% win rate and are 2.5 games above the Dodgers.  They are 83-45.

LA Dodgers - The Dodgers are back!  They are playing at a 80% win rate. They own a 81-48 record.

Top Trends (Coming Into Thursday)

  • White Sox are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Toronto.
  • There has only been one OVER in the last 11 meetings of the White Sox vs. Blue Jays series.
  • Reds are 9-1 in the last 10 games versus the Marlins, three of those in Miami.
  • Giants are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings vs. the Braves (2019 last meeting).
  • The UNDER is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings of the Yankees-Athletics series (coming into Thursday).
  • Yankees are 7-21 in the last 28 meetings in Oakland.
  • OVER is 16-4-1 in the last 21 meetings between the Royals and Mariners.
  • The last 9 games in the Royals-Mariners series have gone OVER 8.5.

Game Watch 

1. Yankees @ Athletics -

Nestor Cortes Jr. (2-1, 2.56) vs. Frankie Montas (9-9, 3.84)

Montas struck out nine batters over seven shutout innings with two hits and two walks allowed in a no-decision as the A's lost 2-1 against the Giants on Sunday.  It was one of his best starts of the season.

With the A's having enjoyed success against the Yankees in Oakland and Montas due for a win, avoid this one like the plague as we are certainly not backing Oakland at this time.

1. Royals @ Mariners

Daniel Lynch (4-3, 4.74) vs. Tyler Anderson (1-0, 3.00)

Total is 8.5.

KC has been playing well of late and have scored 5 or more runs in six of their last eight games.  They have only permitted over 4 runs in three of their last ten games.

Lynch allowed just one run over five innings on Monday in a win over the Astros and, prior to that, just one run on four hits over seven innings in Tuesday's 3-1 win over the Astros.  He is coming off of four straight wins.

Anderson surrendered two runs over 5 1/3 innings on Sunday in a no-decision against the Astros and had a win prior to that game.

Seattle has scored 5 or more runs in half of their last ten games while allowing 6 or more, including two games against the Astros that resulted in 12 and 15 runs, respectively.

Take the OVER 8.5 here

Recap

That one hurt last night as we put an end to a 6-game win streak.  Heading into the 9th inning of the Yankees-Athletics game the score still had the total at 7 and we were on the UNDER 7.5 before the A's closer allowed a home run. 

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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