Free MLB Pick - Rockies vs. Giants April 13

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:

Colorado takes on San Francisco Saturday and we have a free pick on this game.


The Giants are a -115 favorite at home.  Colorado was at +105.

The total was coming in at 7

What We Like:

  • The home team has won nine of the last ten meetings
  • San Francisco has won four of the last five in this series
  • Both starting pitchers coming off bad outings in their last two starts
  • Last five have fallen UNDER the current total of 7, all played in San Francisco
  • No move off the 7
  • Colorado on the road has not scored more than 2 points in their last five road games
  • Six of the Giants last ten games have resulted in 3 or fewer runs

What We Don't Like:

  • Better than 60% of action on Giants at -115 with the line having dropped from as high as -138
  • San Francisco has permitted six or more runs in Madison Bumgarner's two starts this season
  • Colorado allowed 8 runs in Kyle Freeland's last start

Though the betting action was 60/40 facing San Francisco, volume was insignficant enough that we could ride this one along with the public. 

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (1-2, 5.40 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (0-2, 3.32)

Freeland is coming off an outing to forget as he surrendered a career-high seven runs on seven hits and four walks over five innings in a loss to Atlanta on Monday. The 25-year-old native of Denver has lost back-to-back starts after winning nine straight decisions dating back to last season. Freeland has had success against San Francisco in his career, going 5-2 with a 2.61 ERA in eight turns.

Bumgarner also is in a funk as he has yielded five runs over six innings in each of his last two starts. The 29-year-old native of North Carolina, who is seeking his first win of 2019, escaped with a no-decision against San Diego on Monday but took the loss versus the Dodgers in Los Angeles six days earlier despite the fact all the runs were unearned. Bumgarner is 13-8 with two complete games, one shutout and a 3.04 ERA in 30 career turns versus Colorado.

We will be taking the UNDER 7 here

2019 MLB Record: 5-2 (71%)

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 6-4 (60%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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