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Cuomo, Newsom Futures Bleak According to Oddsmakers

Written by:
Gilbert Horowitz
Published on:
Feb/16/2021

The odds favor California movements to recall Governor Gavin Newsom obtaining enough signatures to have another vote.  New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's re-election bid looks bleak as well.

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At last report by the California Secretary of State's Office on Jan. 27, the effort had 410,087 valid signatures out of 723,886 signatures received.

The effort is a direct result of fatigue over Newsom's stay-at-home orders.  In recent weeks, the California Governor has relented under pressure, lifting the orders.

A poll released two weeks ago by the Public Policy Institute of California found just over half of Californians — 54% — approve of how Newsom is handling the job, suggesting the recall effort still has an uphill climb. But that’s down from 65% in May, at the height of his approval. Among Democrats, he’s dropped from 86% support in May to 71% now. About half of independents support him and just 16% of Republicans approve. The poll didn’t ask about the recall.

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Will there be enough signatures for recall vote of Gavin Newsom?

Yes -300

No +200

(Odds imply a 75.0% chance recall vote will occur)

And in other gubernatorial odds, Andrew Cuomo is not favored to be re-elected as the Governor of New York, should he run again in 2022.

Will Andrew Cuomo be re-elected as Governor of New York in 2022?

Yes +200

No -300

(Odds imply a 75.0% chance Cuomo will not be re-elected)

Cuomo’s top aide told Democratic lawmakers last week that the administration took months to release data revealing how many people living at nursing homes died of COVID-19 because officials “froze” over worries the information was “going to be used against us.”

Republicans who term the comment admission of a “cover-up” are now calling for investigations into and the resignations of Cuomo.

On Thursday morning, New York City Mayor Bill Di Blasio accused Cuomo of being a "bully" towards those who tried to shed light on the nursing home fiasco during an appearance on "Morning Joe".

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Cuomo defended the delay in reporting.

"Everyone was busy," Cuomo said. "We're in the midst of managing a pandemic. There was a delay in providing the press and the public all that additional information."

Not immediately giving the state the data it requested created a "void" of facts, Cuomo said, which allowed misinformation to thrive.

"In retrospect, should we have given more priority to fulfilling information requests? In my opinion, yes, and I think that's what created the void," he said. "But do I understand the pressure everyone was under? Yes."

- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com

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