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Books Biggest Liabilities Week 1 College Football

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Aug/29/2019

It's been nearly four years since Alabama was an underdog.


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According to data provided by SportsBetting.ag, the Crimson Tide have been favored in 54 consecutive games going in to the 2019 regular season. This is the longest streak in the nation and it will extend to 55 games on Saturday.
 
During the streak, which includes the postseason, Alabama has been a double-digit favorite in 44 of the 55 games. Nick Saban's squad is a 35-point favorite versus Duke in Week 1 (opening spread was 30.5).
 
The last time Alabama wasn't favored was October 3, 2015, when it was a 1.5-point underdog at Georgia. Prior to that, the Tide had been favored in 72 straight games so they've been favored in 126 of their last 127 games.
 
During the current streak, the team is 30-24 against the spread. Oddsmakers project that Alabama will be at least a 7-point favorite in every regular season game this year.
 
"A $10 bettor would be up $36 dollars had you bet on Alabama at standard juice every game during this streak, so it hasn't exactly been a wildly profitable system," said Adam Burns, head linesman at SportsBetting.ag. "The Tide are going to be massive favorites, and inflated favorites, in most games again this season so there usually isn't a lot of value backing them."
 
The five most profitable teams from a betting standpoint over the last five years are:
 
1. UAB 25-13 ATS
2. Temple 41-24 ATS
3. Utah 39-26 ATS
4. Lousiana Tech 39-27 ATS
5. Fresno State 37-26 ATS
 
While Alabama is a constant favorite, the Tide aren't generating the most amount of action to take home the title this year, according to the site. The defending champs, Clemson, has seen the most amount of money, followed by Georgia.
 
CFP Championship highest percentage of money wagered:

Clemson - 11 percent
Georgia - 10 percent    
Alabama - 9 percent                                                              
Texas - 6 percent
Oklahoma - 5 percent
 
Trevor Lawrence makes up a quarter of the action in the Heisman Trophy odds. Not suprirsingly, the top 5 money-getters are quarterbacks.
 
Heisman Trophy highest percentage of money wagered:

Trevor Lawrence - 25 percent
Tua Tagovailoa - 13 percent
Jake Fromm - 9 percent
Justin Herbert - 7 percent
Jalen Hurts - 6 percent

Most bet win total overs:

Alabama - over 11
Utah - over 6.5
Virginia - over 7.5

Most bet win total unders:

West Virginia - under 5.5
Purdue - under 7
Vanderbilt - under 5.5
 
National Championship Odds

Clemson  5/2
Alabama  3/1
Georgia  7/1
Oklahoma  10/1
Michigan  10/1
Ohio State  12/1
Texas  20/1
LSU  25/1
Florida  33/1
Utah  33/1
Oregon  33/1
Washington  33/1
Notre Dame  40/1
Auburn  50/1
Texas A&M  50/1
Penn State  50/1
Nebraska  66/1
Miami 80/1
Wisconsin  80/1
Mississippi State  100/1
USC  100/1
TCU  100/1
Stanford  100/1
Michigan State  100/1
Virginia Tech  150/1
Iowa  150/1
Florida State  150/1
Syracuse  150/1
Washington State  150/1
Baylor  150/1
Memphis  150/1
UCLA  150/1
Virginia  150/1
Missouri  200/1
Army  250/1
UCF  250/1  
Kentucky  250/1
Iowa State  250/1
Purdue  250/1
SMU  250/1
South Florida  250/1
Northwestern  250/1
Utah State  250/1
Temple  500/1
North Texas  500/1
Northern Illinois  500/1
Western Michigan  500/1
Marshall  500/1
Hawaii  500/1
Buffalo  500/1
Wyoming  500/1
UAB  500/1

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