Bet the Houston Texans vs. Broncos Week 9 Game - 2018 - Computer Model Pick

Written by:
Ean Lamb
Published on:
Nov/03/2018

You can bet the Houston Texans vs. Broncos game online at YouWager.com.  The line on this game was set at Denver -1 with a total of 46.  Following a slow start, Houston is now 5-3 Straight Up and 3-5 Against The Spread.  Denver is 3-5 SU and 3-4-1 ATS.

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What to Bet

Houston to win the AFC South -225 (Lock This Price in Now as the Line Will Go Up With a Win vs. Denver)

The Texans So Far This Season

The Texans acquired WR Demaryius Thomas from the Broncos this week.

From NFL.com: “The Texans keep on winning, with a big assist from the offense for a change ... a Calvin Murphy-level assist. Too old-school? How about a Sam Cassell-level assist? Whatever. The defense has carried Bill O'Brien's team the entire first half of the season. For its part, Houston's D got straight ripped off Thursday night. Slice that Brock Osweiler tuck rule play any way you want -- that should've been six points. The refs weren't on-point."

The Texans 2018-2019 Odds

Houston to win the AFC South -225 (Lock This Price in Now as the Line Will Go Up With a Win vs. Denver)

Texans to win the Super Bowl 22-1.

Texans vs. Broncos Betting Trends, Predictions

The CBS Sports Advanced Prediction Model has been stupendous this season thus far this week it is all over the Broncos this week.

Last week the model had Pittsburgh and Cleveland head coach was sent packing after that disaster.  Nuff said.

From CBS Sports:

Another pick the model loves: the Broncos (-1) cover at home against the Texans despite sending wide receiver Demaryius Thomas to the opposing sideline at the NFL trade deadline.

Thomas gives Houston a veteran receiver to help make up for the loss of Will Fuller to a torn ACL, but the model expects the added work for rookie Courtland Sutton to offset the loss. The model is calling for Sutton to catch four passes for 60 yards for Denver, while Thomas has four catches for 50 yards in his Houston debut.

With the line falling all the way from Broncos -3, the model says Denver covers in almost 55 percent of simulations. There's also a strong value on the Over (46) because that hits 60 percent of the time. 

Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com

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