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Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick - Divisional Playoffs

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Jan/16/2021

The Ravens-Bills line really has not moved off the -2.5 favoring Buffalo.

There may have been some early sharp action on the Bills.  The line dropped to -1 for a brief time earlier in the week.

Baltimore has beaten the Bills in their last three meetings dating back to 2016.

Last week's playoff victory was the first for the Bills since Hall of Famers Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas engineered a 37-22 win over the Miami Dolphins in a wild-card matchup on Dec. 30, 1995.

The overwhelming belief is that this encounter will be decided by the quarterbacks.

Josh Allen, in his third season, had the breakthrough campaign many anticipated, setting franchise records with 4,544 yards and 37 touchdown passes. He added 421 yards and eight scores on the ground.

He had one of the worst games of his three-year NFL career against the Ravens in December 2019 and will be looking for some revenge here.

Buffalo gave up 163 yards on the ground in the win over Indianapolis and surrendered 119.6 yards per game on the ground during the regular season.

College Football News notes that "the mistakes aren’t happening – the Ravens haven’t turned it over more than once in their last six games – and to go along with the boost in Jackson’s production, the defensive side has taken things to another level".

The Ravens are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. AFC and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.

The Bills are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Another tough one but we will be on the Ravens +2.5 here.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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