April 9 Major League Baseball Trends and Betting Previews (Podcast)

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Don Shapiro
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We got some great betting previews and analyses of today's Major League Baseball games as Gambling911.com heads into Tuesday with a 4-1 record.



Mariners vs. Royals

The Mariners are once again getting some lopsided action in this matchup.  75% of the moneyline action is on Seattle, a team that's gone 10-2 thus far.

The line on this game is -110 after opening at -120.  There is obvious value but we had the direction this line is moving as books once again are encouraging action on the Mariners.

Seattle does own this series of late, winning the last six.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (3-0, 3.20 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jakob Junis (1-0, 4.63)

Gonzales looks to extend his season-opening winning streak to four starts as he comes off his most impressive outing to date. The 27-year-old native of Colorado came within two outs of a complete game against the Los Angeles Angels last Tuesday, when he allowed just one run and four hits with one walk and three strikeouts. Gonzales has made three career starts versus Kansas City, going 1-1 with his lone complete game in the major leagues and a 5.87 ERA.

Junis surrendered three runs and six hits over six innings at Detroit on Thursday but did not factor in the decision. The 26-year-old from Illinois registered eight strikeouts in the outing, increasing his total to 14 in two turns against only four walks. Junis won both of his previous career starts against Seattle, allowing one run and five hits with two walks and 10 strikeouts over 15 frames.

Dodgers vs. Cardinals

The Dodgers are seeing 64% of the action here, but unlike yesterday, the line is not moving much here.  We were sitting right around LA -125 here.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Ross Stripling (0-0, 2.31 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Dakota Hudson (0-1, 5.40)

Brewers vs. Angels

Milwaukee has moved from -116 to -130 as the books react with the volume coming in on the Brewers.

Just shy of 70% of the money line action is on Milwaukee.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers RH Freddy Peralta (1-0, 3.27 ERA) vs. Angels RH Matt Harvey (0-1, 9.00)

LA won yesterday and we don't have a whole lot of recent trends due to this being an interleague game.

Yankees vs. Astros

Eight of the last ten games between these two teams have resulted in eight or fewer runs.  The problem here is that the total is falling right on 8.

The total has come down a half run from 8.5.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH Jonathan Loaisiga (0-0, 2.25 ERA) vs. Astros RH Gerrit Cole (0-2, 3.00)

Loaisiga yielded only one hit over four frames in a spot start Wednesday but ran into trouble by walking the bases loaded and allowing his only run in his final inning of work, leading to a no-decision against Detroit. The 24-year-old Nicaraguan made nine appearances in 2018, going 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in his four starts. Considered the organization's top pitching prospect after going 15-4 with a 2.63 ERA in 43 minor-league turns, Loaisiga is set to face Houston for the first time in his career.

Cole opened the season by striking out 19 in consecutive quality starts, but he was doomed by a lack of run support again Wednesday after permitting three runs in six frames during a 4-0 loss at Texas. The two-time All-Star was charged with four runs over six innings in his first outing, but only one was earned in a 10-strikeout performance in Tampa Bay.

Half of the last ten games Houston has played overall have resulted in two or fewer runs scored.  Against Baltimore they managed to score six or more runs in each of those this past weekend.

The UNDER is 10-2 in the Astros last twelve games.

Half of the last ten games New York has played in overall have resulted in three or fewer runs scored. The Yankees were able to score a lot more runs against the A's over the weekend.

The OVER is 10-2 in the Yankees last twelve road games.

We will be on the UNDER 8 for this one.

2019 MLB Record: 4-1 (80%)

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 6-3 (66.6%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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