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April 8 Major League Baseball Trends and Betting Previews (Podcast)

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Apr/08/2019
  • Athletics have won five of the last six meetings, two of those in Baltimore

  • Mariners are seeing the most action of any MLB side today with the line dropping from -135 to -110

  • Cardinals are 7-1 in Miles Mikolas last eight home starts


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Athletics vs. Orioles 

Trend: Athletics

The A's have won five of the last six meetings, two of which were on the road in Baltimore.  In the last thirteen games played in Baltimore, the Athletics are 4-9 however.

The line has generally moved from -135 to -145 favoring Oakland.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics RH Marco Estrada (0-0, 2.76 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Andrew Cashner (1-1, 5.40)

Estrada has allowed a total of six runs - five earned - in his first three starts with Oakland but has lasted six innings only once. The 35-year-old Mexican worked 5 1/3 frames against Boston on Wednesday, yielding three runs on two hits and two walks. Estrada has had considerable success against Baltimore in his career as he is 9-3 with a 3.43 ERA in 17 starts and two relief appearances.

Cashner bounced back from a rough season debut against the New York Yankees, scattering four hits over six scoreless innings in a victory at Toronto on Tuesday. The 32-year-old Texan needs to work on his control as he enters Monday with more walks (seven) than strikeouts (six) in 10 frames this season. Cashner has posted a 1-1 record and 6.84 ERA in six career games (five starts) versus the Athletics.

Mariners vs. Royals

Trend Edge: None

The Mariners were seeing 75% of the money line action and the line was moving from -135 to -110, with "sucker" written all over it.   Seattle was seeing the most action of any MLB side today.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (1-0, 1.69 ERA) vs. Royals RH Homer Bailey (0-0, 5.40)

Hernandez struggled mightily last season, posting a 5.55 ERA while surrendering 27 home runs, and was hit hard this spring. The 32-year-old showed signs of life in his season debut, however, limiting the Los Angeles Angels to three runs - one earned - while striking out four over 5 1/3 innings. Hernandez is 7-6 - including two of his eight wins last season - with a 3.26 ERA in 16 career starts against the Royals.

Bailey hopes a change of scenery will help him bounce back from last year's disastrous campaign in which he went 1-14 with a 6.09 ERA in 20 starts with Cincinnati. The 32-year-old's tenure is Kansas City got off to a decent beginning on Wednesday, as he held Minnesota to three runs over five innings while striking out eight in a no-decision. Bailey is winless in 12 turns dating to May 12, and his team has lost all 12 of those games.

Even at 10, the OVER was seeing 65% of the action.  This total opened at 9.

We would think twice about betting Seattle here....just not prepared to pull the trigger on this struggling KC team though.

Dodgers vs. Cardinals

Trend Edge: None

The Dodgers were seeing 60% of the action here.

The line movement says it all here with St. Louis opening at +111 and becoming a -110 favorite.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-0, 2.08 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (0-1, 7.20)

Ryu has gotten out of the gate strong after being limited to 15 starts last year due to injury, allowing three runs and 10 hits over 13 innings in home wins over Arizona and San Francisco. The 32-year-old South Korean has demonstrated excellent control of his pitches as he has yet to issue a walk while registering 13 strikeouts. Ryu has made four starts and one relief appearance against the Cardinals during his career, going 1-2 with a 2.25 ERA.

Mikolas will be making his first home start of 2019 after beginning the campaign with a pair of rough outings on the road. The 30-year-old Floridian was tagged for five runs and five hits - three homers - in five innings at Milwaukee in his season debut before yielding three runs and seven hits over five frames in Pittsburgh on Wednesday. Mikolas has given up two runs - one earned - and three hits over 3 1/3 innings in three career relief appearances against the Dodgers.

The Dodgers are 7-2 in Ryus last 9 starts.

The Cardinals are 7-1 in Mikolas' last 8 home starts.

We have to go with the Cardinals today -110

2019 MLB Record: 3-1 (75%)

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 6-3 (66.6%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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